Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 21/08, 20:45
Prediction: Treaty United FC vs Cork City
Team pages: Treaty United FC · Cork City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Treaty United FC1.27
Cork City1.43
1X2
Treaty United FC
Draw
Cork City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Treaty United FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Cork City
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treaty United FC
0–2–4
Cork City
(6 last)
- Cork City4-0Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC0-1Cork City
- Cork City1-0Treaty United FC
- Cork City2-1Treaty United FC
- Cork City1-1Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC1-1Cork City
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cork City (rating 1480 vs 1559).
- H2H favours Cork City: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Treaty United FC | Cork City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 4.7 / 8.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treaty United FC 0–2–4 Cork City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 25/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cork City |
| 13/02/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 18/01/25 Europe Friendlies | Cork City | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 04/10/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Cork City | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Treaty United FC |
| 02/08/24 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cork City |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 57 | 23 | 63 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 43 |
| 3 | UCD | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 32 | 43 |
| 4 | Longford Town | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 37 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 37 |
| 6 | Kerry FC | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 35 |
| 7 | Wexford FC | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 34 |
| 8 | Athlone Town | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 31 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | 29 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 53 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Treaty United FC | Cork City |
|---|---|---|
| Cobh Ramblers | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| UCD | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Longford Town | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Athlone Town | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Finn Harps | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Kerry FC | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Bray Wanderers | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cork City (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
Cork City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Cardiff Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treaty United FC vs Cork City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cork City win (40%). Probabilities: Treaty United FC 32%, draw 28%, Cork City 40%.
How many goals are expected in Treaty United FC vs Cork City?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Treaty United FC 1.27 · Cork City 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Treaty United FC vs Cork City?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.