Basketball · Chile Liga Nacional Women · 26/10, 00:30
Prediction: Sergio Ceppi (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Team pages: Sergio Ceppi (W) · Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
139Total
Sergio Ceppi (W)63.8
Universidad de Concepcion (W)75.1
1X2
Sergio Ceppi (W)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Sergio Ceppi (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sergio Ceppi (W)
1–3
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
(4 last)
- Sergio Ceppi (W)42-68Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)68-51Sergio Ceppi (W)
- Sergio Ceppi (W)57-36Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)52-46Sergio Ceppi (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergio Ceppi (W) 1418 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1500
| Sergio Ceppi (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
139 points · Bet365 line 132.5 · +6.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points139Sergio Ceppi (W) 63.8 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 75.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Concepcion (W) (rating 1418 vs 1500).
- Universidad de Concepcion (W) is a clear favourite (79% market).
- H2H favours Universidad de Concepcion (W): 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sergio Ceppi (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 52.8 / 66.2 | 68.3 / 60.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 55.2 / 69.6 | 64 / 58.4 |
| Est. result | 64 | 75 |
Est. total139
Line O/U132.5
Diff.6.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergio Ceppi (W) 1–0–3 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sergio Ceppi (W) | 42-68 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 04/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 68-51 | Sergio Ceppi (W) |
| 27/08/18 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sergio Ceppi (W) | 57-36 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 15/07/18 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 52-46 | Sergio Ceppi (W) |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sergio Ceppi (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Azul y Rojo (W) | 49-68 L | 85-61 W |
| Colegio Los Leones (W) | 49-82 L | 61-75 L |
| Gimnastico (W) | 53-84 L | 17-25 L |
| Sportiva Italiana (W) | 59-63 L | 74-85 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Concepcion (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergio Ceppi (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
49-68 | L |
| 18/10 | Luis Matte Larrain (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
69-47 | W |
| 18/10 | CD Boston College (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
56-67 | L |
| 12/10 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
49-82 | L |
| 11/10 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
53-84 | L |
| 13/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
59-63 | L |
| 06/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
43-70 | L |
| 31/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
42-68 | L |
| 31/05 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
81-48 | W |
| 25/05 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
27-65 | L |
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
74-85 | L |
| 18/10 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
17-25 | L |
| 17/10 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
61-75 | L |
| 11/10 | Luis Matte Larrain Women Chile Liga Nacional Women |
111-38 | W |
| 27/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
57-69 | L |
| 21/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
71-85 | L |
| 20/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
55-63 | L |
| 13/06 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-61 | W |
| 07/06 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
84-60 | W |
| 31/05 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
68-42 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergio Ceppi (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
Our model gives 79% to Universidad de Concepcion (W).
How many points are expected in Sergio Ceppi (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
The model estimates 139 total points (Sergio Ceppi (W) 63.8 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 75.1).