Basketball · Chile Liga Nacional Women · 25/10, 02:00
Prediction: Sportiva Italiana (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Team pages: Sportiva Italiana (W) · Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
143.4Total
Sportiva Italiana (W)75.2
Universidad de Concepcion (W)68.3
1X2
Sportiva Italiana (W)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Sportiva Italiana (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportiva Italiana (W)
5–1
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
(6 last)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)57-69Sportiva Italiana (W)
- Sportiva Italiana (W)85-71Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Sportiva Italiana (W)63-55Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Universidad de Concepcion (W)66-71Sportiva Italiana (W)
- Sportiva Italiana (W)66-68Universidad de Concepcion (W)
- Sportiva Italiana (W)72-56Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportiva Italiana (W) 1592 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1501
| Sportiva Italiana (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
143.4 points · Bet365 line 139.5 · +3.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points143.4Sportiva Italiana (W) 75.2 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 68.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportiva Italiana (W) (rating 1592 vs 1501).
- Sportiva Italiana (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Sportiva Italiana (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sportiva Italiana (W) | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.1 / 64.4 | 67.9 / 58.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80 / 64.4 | 63.4 / 58.4 |
| Est. result | 75 | 68 |
Est. total143.4
Line O/U139.5
Diff.3.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportiva Italiana (W) 5–0–1 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 57-69 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 21/06/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 85-71 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 20/06/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 63-55 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 24/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 66-71 | Sportiva Italiana (W) |
| 26/04/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 66-68 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 07/12/25 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Sportiva Italiana (W) | 72-56 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportiva Italiana (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | CD Boston College (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
80-67 | W |
| 18/10 | Luis Matte Larrain (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
117-29 | W |
| 10/10 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
82-73 | W |
| 15/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
84-88 | L |
| 13/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
37-65 | L |
| 12/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
72-65 | W |
| 09/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
63-69 | L |
| 08/07 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
62-60 | W |
| 27/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
69-57 | W |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-71 | W |
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
17-25 | L |
| 17/10 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
61-75 | L |
| 11/10 | Luis Matte Larrain Women Chile Liga Nacional Women |
111-38 | W |
| 27/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
57-69 | L |
| 21/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
71-85 | L |
| 20/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
55-63 | L |
| 13/06 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
85-61 | W |
| 07/06 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
84-60 | W |
| 31/05 | Sergio Ceppi (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
68-42 | W |
| 31/05 | Azul y Rojo (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
70-64 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportiva Italiana (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
Our model gives 69% to Sportiva Italiana (W).
How many points are expected in Sportiva Italiana (W) vs Universidad de Concepcion (W)?
The model estimates 143.4 total points (Sportiva Italiana (W) 75.2 · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 68.3).