Basketball · Chile Liga Nacional Women · 25/10, 01:30
Prediction: Sergio Ceppi (W) vs Azul y Rojo (W)
Team pages: Sergio Ceppi (W) · Azul y Rojo (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
141.6Total
Sergio Ceppi (W)68.1
Azul y Rojo (W)73.5
1X2
Sergio Ceppi (W)
Azul y Rojo (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Sergio Ceppi (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Azul y Rojo (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sergio Ceppi (W)
0–1
Azul y Rojo (W)
(1 last)
- Azul y Rojo (W)77-75Sergio Ceppi (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergio Ceppi (W) 1427 · Azul y Rojo (W) 1416
| Sergio Ceppi (W) | Azul y Rojo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
141.6 points · Bet365 line 131.5 · +10.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points141.6Sergio Ceppi (W) 68.1 · Azul y Rojo (W) 73.5
Match keys
- Azul y Rojo (W) is a clear favourite (65% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sergio Ceppi (W) | Azul y Rojo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 51.7 / 66.4 | 64.2 / 77.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 57.2 / 68.6 | 63.6 / 74.8 |
| Est. result | 68 | 74 |
Est. total141.6
Line O/U131.5
Diff.10.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergio Ceppi (W) 0–0–1 Azul y Rojo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Chile Liga Nacional Women | Azul y Rojo (W) | 77-75 | Sergio Ceppi (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sergio Ceppi (W) | Azul y Rojo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Colegio Los Leones (W) | 49-82 L | 49-71 L |
| Gimnastico (W) | 53-84 L | 66-75 L |
| Sportiva Italiana (W) | 59-63 L | 77-88 L |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 42-68 L | 61-85 L |
| Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) | 81-48 W | 82-59 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Azul y Rojo (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergio Ceppi (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Luis Matte Larrain (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
69-47 | W |
| 18/10 | CD Boston College (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
56-67 | L |
| 12/10 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
49-82 | L |
| 11/10 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
53-84 | L |
| 13/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
59-63 | L |
| 06/06 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
43-70 | L |
| 31/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
42-68 | L |
| 31/05 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
81-48 | W |
| 25/05 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
27-65 | L |
| 24/05 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
38-70 | L |
Azul y Rojo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
49-71 | L |
| 17/10 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
66-75 | L |
| 13/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
61-85 | L |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
60-84 | L |
| 01/06 | Santiago Morning Quilicura (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
82-59 | W |
| 31/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
64-70 | L |
| 25/05 | Colegio Los Leones (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
46-89 | L |
| 23/05 | Gimnastico (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
62-73 | L |
| 18/05 | Puente Alto (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
75-85 | L |
| 16/05 | Sportiva Italiana (W) Chile Liga Nacional Women |
77-88 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergio Ceppi (W) vs Azul y Rojo (W)?
Our model gives 65% to Azul y Rojo (W).
How many points are expected in Sergio Ceppi (W) vs Azul y Rojo (W)?
The model estimates 141.6 total points (Sergio Ceppi (W) 68.1 · Azul y Rojo (W) 73.5).