Basketball · Chile Liga Nacional Women · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Azul y Rojo (W)

Team pages: Universidad de Concepcion (W) · Azul y Rojo (W)

Prediction summary
Estimated points
142.3Total
Universidad de Concepcion (W)78.7
Azul y Rojo (W)63.6
1X2
86% 14%
Universidad de Concepcion (W) Azul y Rojo (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Concepcion (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWLLLW
Azul y Rojo (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Universidad de Concepcion (W) 4–0 Azul y Rojo (W) (4 last)
  • Universidad de Concepcion (W)85-61Azul y Rojo (W)
  • Azul y Rojo (W)60-84Universidad de Concepcion (W)
  • Azul y Rojo (W)64-70Universidad de Concepcion (W)
  • Universidad de Concepcion (W)74-32Azul y Rojo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 1531 · Azul y Rojo (W) 1434
Universidad de Concepcion (W)Azul y Rojo (W)
Our model75%25%
Market89%11%
Estimated total (ours) 142.3 points · Bet365 line 139.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points142.3Universidad de Concepcion (W) 78.7 · Azul y Rojo (W) 63.6

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Concepcion (W) (rating 1531 vs 1434).
  • Universidad de Concepcion (W) is a clear favourite (86% market).
  • H2H favours Universidad de Concepcion (W): 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Universidad de Concepcion (W)Azul y Rojo (W)
Points F|A (Last 10)69.5 / 6062 / 72.1
Points F|A (Last 5)68.6 / 52.461.2 / 69.2
Est. result7964
Est. total142.3
Line O/U139.5
Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 4–0–0 Azul y Rojo (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
Chile Liga Nacional Women
Universidad de Concepcion (W)85-61Azul y Rojo (W)
07/06/26
Chile Liga Nacional Women
Azul y Rojo (W)60-84Universidad de Concepcion (W)
31/05/26
Chile Liga Nacional Women
Azul y Rojo (W)64-70Universidad de Concepcion (W)
02/05/26
Chile Liga Nacional Women
Universidad de Concepcion (W)74-32Azul y Rojo (W)

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUniversidad de Concepcion (W)Azul y Rojo (W)
Sergio Ceppi (W) 80-39 W 68-49 W
Sportiva Italiana (W) 74-85 L 62-66 L
Gimnastico (W) 17-25 L 66-75 L
Colegio Los Leones (W) 61-75 L 49-71 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad de Concepcion (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad de Concepcion (W)

WWLLLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
26/10 Sergio Ceppi (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
80-39 W
25/10 Sportiva Italiana (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
74-85 L
18/10 Gimnastico (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
17-25 L
17/10 Colegio Los Leones (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
61-75 L
11/10 Luis Matte Larrain Women
Chile Liga Nacional Women
111-38 W
27/06 Sportiva Italiana (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
57-69 L
21/06 Sportiva Italiana (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
71-85 L
20/06 Sportiva Italiana (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
55-63 L
13/06 Azul y Rojo (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
85-61 W
07/06 Azul y Rojo (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
84-60 W

Azul y Rojo (W)

LLLWLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
25/10 Sportiva Italiana (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
62-66 L
25/10 Sergio Ceppi (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
68-49 W
18/10 Colegio Los Leones (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
49-71 L
17/10 Gimnastico (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
66-75 L
13/06 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
61-85 L
07/06 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
60-84 L
01/06 Santiago Morning Quilicura (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
82-59 W
31/05 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
64-70 L
25/05 Colegio Los Leones (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
46-89 L
23/05 Gimnastico (W)
Chile Liga Nacional Women
62-73 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Azul y Rojo (W)?

Our model gives 86% to Universidad de Concepcion (W).

How many points are expected in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Azul y Rojo (W)?

The model estimates 142.3 total points (Universidad de Concepcion (W) 78.7 · Azul y Rojo (W) 63.6).