Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 31/10, 15:30
Prediction: Quimsa vs Penarol
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.8Total
Quimsa81.8
Penarol74.9
1X2
Quimsa
Penarol
Recent form · 10 last
Quimsa
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Penarol
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Quimsa
3–3
Penarol
(6 last)
- Quimsa89-66Penarol
- Penarol88-85Quimsa
- Penarol63-81Quimsa
- Quimsa79-84Penarol
- Quimsa91-60Penarol
- Penarol65-64Quimsa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quimsa 1568 · Penarol 1521
| Quimsa | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
156.8 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · -2.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points156.8Quimsa 81.8 · Penarol 74.9
Match keys
- Quimsa is a clear favourite (69% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Quimsa | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.4 / 74.2 | 82.5 / 79.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.6 / 74 | 80.2 / 75.8 |
| Est. result | 82 | 75 |
Est. total156.8
Line O/U159.5
Diff.2.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quimsa 3–0–3 Penarol
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 89-66 | Penarol |
| 09/10/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Penarol | 88-85 | Quimsa |
| 29/03/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Penarol | 63-81 | Quimsa |
| 25/01/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 79-84 | Penarol |
| 19/06/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 91-60 | Penarol |
| 16/06/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Penarol | 65-64 | Quimsa |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 5 | 5 | 0 | 428 | 370 | 10 |
| 2 | Penarol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 333 | 295 | 8 |
| 3 | Atenas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 339 | 325 | 7 |
| 4 | Instituto | 4 | 3 | 1 | 316 | 313 | 7 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 7 | 5 | 2 | 552 | 526 | 12 |
| 6 | Olimpico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 443 | 419 | 8 |
| 7 | Argentino Junin | 5 | 3 | 2 | 403 | 394 | 8 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 3 | 3 | 529 | 510 | 9 |
| 9 | Independiente de Oliva | 2 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 190 | 3 |
| 10 | Platense | 6 | 3 | 3 | 482 | 482 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 6 | 3 | 3 | 482 | 495 | 9 |
| 12 | Lanus | 8 | 3 | 5 | 606 | 632 | 11 |
| 13 | La Union Formosa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 244 | 252 | 4 |
| 14 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 6 | 2 | 4 | 492 | 513 | 8 |
| 15 | Regatas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 299 | 313 | 5 |
| 16 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 305 | 323 | 5 |
| 17 | Obera TC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 367 | 406 | 6 |
| 18 | San Martin | 6 | 0 | 6 | 509 | 571 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quimsa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
68-54 | W |
| 24/10 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-76 | W |
| 11/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
105-96 | W |
| 06/10 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-77 | W |
| 04/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
94-67 | W |
| 18/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
88-60 | W |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-74 | W |
| 12/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
59-76 | L |
| 09/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
79-80 | L |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-82 | L |
Penarol
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
95-76 | W |
| 17/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-85 | W |
| 15/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional |
84-77 | W |
| 01/10 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
62-57 | W |
| 03/05 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
68-84 | L |
| 01/05 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
87-75 | W |
| 27/04 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-80 | L |
| 25/04 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
91-97 | L |
| 20/04 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
87-80 | W |
| 17/04 | Obera TC Argentina Liga Nacional |
81-84 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quimsa vs Penarol?
Our model gives 69% to Quimsa.
How many points are expected in Quimsa vs Penarol?
The model estimates 156.8 total points (Quimsa 81.8 · Penarol 74.9).