Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 09/11, 00:30

Prediction: Quimsa vs Instituto

Team pages: Quimsa · Instituto

Prediction summary

Estimated points

152Total

Quimsa80.1

Instituto71.9

1X2

72% 28%

Quimsa Instituto

Markets

Under 153.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Quimsa 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Instituto 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWWLW

Head-to-head

Quimsa 4–2 Instituto (6 last)

Quimsa75-71Instituto
Instituto83-80Quimsa
Instituto66-78Quimsa
Quimsa74-80Instituto
Quimsa85-59Instituto
Instituto78-79Quimsa

Model analysis

Estimated points152Quimsa 80.1 · Instituto 71.9

Over / Under 153.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~148 pts · strength 6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quimsa (rating 1613 vs 1542).
Quimsa is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours Quimsa: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Quimsa	Instituto
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.8 / 72.4	74.8 / 74.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83.4 / 74	73.4 / 73.8
Est. result	80	72

Est. total152

Line O/U153.5

Diff.1.5

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 153.51.91

Under 153.51.91

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 151.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.40
2	2.94 → 2.94	Pinn 2.94

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	2
03:09 +11’	1.40	2.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Quimsa 4–0–2 Instituto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Quimsa	75-71	Instituto
17/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Instituto	83-80	Quimsa
15/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Instituto	66-78	Quimsa
12/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Quimsa	74-80	Instituto
09/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Quimsa	85-59	Instituto
17/04/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Instituto	78-79	Quimsa

Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	506	443	12
2	Penarol	6	5	1	493	447	11
3	Gimnasia Comodoro	10	8	2	766	735	18
4	Atenas	6	4	2	510	498	10
5	Instituto	6	4	2	448	442	10
6	Olimpico	7	4	3	612	600	11
7	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	529	510	9
8	La Union Formosa	4	2	2	319	309	6
9	Platense	6	3	3	482	482	9
10	Argentino Junin	7	3	4	544	567	10
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	8	3	5	647	665	11
12	Independiente de Oliva	3	1	2	276	267	4
13	Ferrocarril Oeste	6	2	4	492	513	8
14	Obera TC	6	2	4	465	490	8
15	Lanus	9	3	6	700	727	12
16	Regatas	4	1	3	299	313	5
17	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	305	323	5
18	San Martin	6	0	6	509	571	6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Quimsa	Instituto
Lanus	88-71 W	75-73 W
Racing de Chivilcoy	68-54 W	75-71 W
Gimnasia Comodoro	88-60 W	57-58 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Quimsa (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quimsa

LWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional	88-71	W
31/10	Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional	78-73	W
26/10	Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional	68-54	W
24/10	Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional	78-76	W
11/10	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional	105-96	W
06/10	Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional	83-77	W
04/10	Platense Argentina Liga Nacional	94-67	W
18/06	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	88-60	W
14/06	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	77-74	W
12/06	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	59-76	L

Instituto

WLWLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional	75-71	W
02/11	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	57-58	L
22/10	Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional	75-73	W
10/10	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	97-94	W
03/10	Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional	63-73	L
01/10	San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional	81-73	W
20/05	Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional	71-75	L
17/05	Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional	83-80	W
15/05	Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional	66-78	L
12/05	Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional	80-74	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quimsa vs Instituto?

Our model gives 72% to Quimsa.

How many points are expected in Quimsa vs Instituto?

The model estimates 152 total points (Quimsa 80.1 · Instituto 71.9).

Over or under 153.5 points?

Recent history points to under 153.5 points (65%).