Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Gimnasia Comodoro vs Obera TC
Team pages: Gimnasia Comodoro · Obera TC
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.8Total
Gimnasia Comodoro80.8
Obera TC73
1X2
Gimnasia Comodoro
Obera TC
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia Comodoro
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Obera TC
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia Comodoro
3–3
Obera TC
(6 last)
- Obera TC83-84Gimnasia Comodoro
- Gimnasia Comodoro80-87Obera TC
- Gimnasia Comodoro64-62Obera TC
- Obera TC76-72Gimnasia Comodoro
- Gimnasia Comodoro85-82Obera TC
- Obera TC99-63Gimnasia Comodoro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia Comodoro 1574 · Obera TC 1447
| Gimnasia Comodoro | Obera TC | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
153.8 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points153.8Gimnasia Comodoro 80.8 · Obera TC 73
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Comodoro (rating 1574 vs 1447).
- Gimnasia Comodoro is a clear favourite (71% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Gimnasia Comodoro | Obera TC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.6 / 73.5 | 76.7 / 83 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.8 / 70.4 | 78.4 / 78.8 |
| Est. result | 81 | 73 |
Est. total153.8
Line O/U154.5
Diff.0.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Comodoro 3–0–3 Obera TC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Obera TC | 83-84 | Gimnasia Comodoro |
| 15/12/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Gimnasia Comodoro | 80-87 | Obera TC |
| 08/03/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Gimnasia Comodoro | 64-62 | Obera TC |
| 23/10/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Obera TC | 76-72 | Gimnasia Comodoro |
| 28/03/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Gimnasia Comodoro | 85-82 | Obera TC |
| 22/01/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Obera TC | 99-63 | Gimnasia Comodoro |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 7 | 7 | 0 | 594 | 514 | 14 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 5 | 1 | 493 | 447 | 11 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 10 | 8 | 2 | 766 | 735 | 18 |
| 4 | Atenas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 510 | 498 | 10 |
| 5 | Instituto | 6 | 4 | 2 | 448 | 442 | 10 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 4 | 3 | 619 | 573 | 11 |
| 7 | Olimpico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 612 | 600 | 11 |
| 8 | La Union Formosa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 309 | 6 |
| 9 | Platense | 6 | 3 | 3 | 482 | 482 | 9 |
| 10 | Argentino Junin | 7 | 3 | 4 | 544 | 567 | 10 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 375 | 388 | 7 |
| 12 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 5 | 647 | 665 | 11 |
| 13 | Independiente de Oliva | 3 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 267 | 4 |
| 14 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 6 | 2 | 4 | 492 | 513 | 8 |
| 15 | Obera TC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 465 | 490 | 8 |
| 16 | Lanus | 10 | 3 | 7 | 771 | 815 | 13 |
| 17 | Regatas | 5 | 1 | 4 | 364 | 383 | 6 |
| 18 | San Martin | 7 | 0 | 7 | 572 | 661 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia Comodoro | Obera TC |
|---|---|---|
| Atenas | 79-76 W | 78-82 L |
| Argentino Junin | 87-82 W | 98-84 W |
| Racing de Chivilcoy | 78-72 W | 78-84 L |
| San Lorenzo | 73-89 L | 78-73 W |
| Lanus | 92-74 W | 58-67 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Comodoro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia Comodoro
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-76 | W |
| 04/11 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
79-76 | W |
| 02/11 | Instituto Argentina Liga Nacional |
58-57 | W |
| 29/10 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-61 | W |
| 13/10 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
87-82 | W |
| 11/10 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-72 | W |
| 09/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-89 | L |
| 05/10 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-86 | W |
| 01/10 | Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional |
57-62 | L |
| 29/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-74 | W |
Obera TC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
98-84 | W |
| 18/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-73 | W |
| 17/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
80-86 | L |
| 14/10 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-84 | L |
| 10/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional |
58-67 | L |
| 08/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-96 | L |
| 15/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-86 | L |
| 12/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
80-102 | L |
| 09/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
66-70 | L |
| 20/04 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-82 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Comodoro vs Obera TC?
Our model gives 71% to Gimnasia Comodoro.
How many points are expected in Gimnasia Comodoro vs Obera TC?
The model estimates 153.8 total points (Gimnasia Comodoro 80.8 · Obera TC 73).