Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 06/11, 01:30

Prediction: Independiente de Oliva vs Gimnasia Comodoro

Team pages: Independiente de Oliva · Gimnasia Comodoro

Prediction summary

Estimated points

157.3Total

Independiente de Oliva78.3

Gimnasia Comodoro79

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Independiente de Oliva Gimnasia Comodoro

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente de Oliva 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWLLW

Gimnasia Comodoro 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Independiente de Oliva 2–4 Gimnasia Comodoro (6 last)

Gimnasia Comodoro81-71Independiente de Oliva
Independiente de Oliva74-66Gimnasia Comodoro
Independiente de Oliva78-76Gimnasia Comodoro
Gimnasia Comodoro77-72Independiente de Oliva
Gimnasia Comodoro78-66Independiente de Oliva
Gimnasia Comodoro91-82Independiente de Oliva

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente de Oliva 1504 · Gimnasia Comodoro 1582

	Independiente de Oliva	Gimnasia Comodoro
Our model	52%	48%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 157.3 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -5.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points157.3Independiente de Oliva 78.3 · Gimnasia Comodoro 79

Match keys

H2H favours Gimnasia Comodoro: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Independiente de Oliva	Gimnasia Comodoro
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.3 / 82.4	74.9 / 74.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.6 / 82.6	75 / 69.6
Est. result	78	79

Est. total157.3

Line O/U162.5

Diff.5.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 6.35 · Est. total: 156.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
2	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.94 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	2
06:31 +16’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
10:39 +9’	1.88	1.93
11:38 +9’	1.88	1.93▼
23:39 +8’	1.88▼	1.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente de Oliva 2–0–4 Gimnasia Comodoro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Gimnasia Comodoro	81-71	Independiente de Oliva
16/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Independiente de Oliva	74-66	Gimnasia Comodoro
14/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Independiente de Oliva	78-76	Gimnasia Comodoro
11/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Gimnasia Comodoro	77-72	Independiente de Oliva
09/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Gimnasia Comodoro	78-66	Independiente de Oliva
28/01/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Gimnasia Comodoro	91-82	Independiente de Oliva

Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	506	443	12
2	Penarol	6	5	1	493	447	11
3	Gimnasia Comodoro	9	7	2	689	659	16
4	Atenas	6	4	2	510	498	10
5	Instituto	6	4	2	448	442	10
6	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	529	510	9
7	Olimpico	6	3	3	517	506	9
8	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	200	190	3
8	La Union Formosa	4	2	2	319	309	6
10	Platense	6	3	3	482	482	9
11	Argentino Junin	6	3	3	460	469	9
12	Racing de Chivilcoy	8	3	5	647	665	11
13	Lanus	8	3	5	606	632	11
14	Ferrocarril Oeste	6	2	4	492	513	8
15	Regatas	4	1	3	299	313	5
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	305	323	5
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	367	406	6
18	San Martin	6	0	6	509	571	6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente de Oliva	Gimnasia Comodoro
Lanus	108-93 W	92-74 W
Ferrocarril Oeste	92-97 L	73-61 W
La Union Formosa	97-92 W	92-86 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Comodoro (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independiente de Oliva

LWWLLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional	108-93	W
09/10	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	92-97	L
19/05	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	71-81	L
16/05	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	74-66	W
14/05	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	78-76	W
11/05	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	72-77	L
09/05	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	66-78	L
03/05	La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional	97-92	W
01/05	La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional	83-78	W
27/04	La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional	62-86	L

Gimnasia Comodoro

LWLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional	79-76	W
02/11	Instituto Argentina Liga Nacional	58-57	W
29/10	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	73-61	W
13/10	Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional	87-82	W
11/10	Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional	78-72	W
09/10	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Nacional	73-89	L
05/10	La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional	92-86	W
01/10	Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional	57-62	L
29/09	Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional	92-74	W
18/06	Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional	60-88	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente de Oliva vs Gimnasia Comodoro?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Independiente de Oliva 48% · Gimnasia Comodoro 52%).

How many points are expected in Independiente de Oliva vs Gimnasia Comodoro?

The model estimates 157.3 total points (Independiente de Oliva 78.3 · Gimnasia Comodoro 79).