Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 12/11, 00:30

Prediction: Platense vs Penarol

Team pages: Platense · Penarol

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.6Total

Platense82.2

Penarol80.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

Platense Penarol

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Platense 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLWLW

Penarol 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Platense 2–4 Penarol (6 last)

Penarol79-72Platense
Platense88-89Penarol
Penarol75-79Platense
Platense72-75Penarol
Penarol99-56Platense
Platense87-86Penarol

Model analysis

Estimated points162.6Platense 82.2 · Penarol 80.4

Match keys

H2H favours Penarol: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Platense	Penarol
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.6 / 81.9	81.7 / 78.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80 / 81.6	86.2 / 78
Est. result	82	80

Est. total162.6

Line O/U161.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 161.51.90

Under 161.51.92

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 161.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.00
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	2
01:40 +6’	2.00	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Platense 2–0–4 Penarol

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Penarol	79-72	Platense
18/11/25 Argentina Liga Nacional	Platense	88-89	Penarol
25/04/25 Argentina Liga Nacional	Penarol	75-79	Platense
12/10/24 Argentina Liga Nacional	Platense	72-75	Penarol
20/04/24 Argentina Liga Nacional	Penarol	99-56	Platense
19/01/24 Argentina Liga Nacional	Platense	87-86	Penarol

Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quimsa	8	7	1	682	606	15
2	Penarol	6	5	1	493	447	11
3	Gimnasia Comodoro	10	8	2	766	735	18
4	Instituto	7	5	2	540	530	12
5	Atenas	6	4	2	510	498	10
6	Boca Juniors	7	4	3	619	573	11
7	Olimpico	7	4	3	612	600	11
8	La Union Formosa	4	2	2	319	309	6
9	Platense	6	3	3	482	482	9
10	Argentino Junin	7	3	4	544	567	10
11	Independiente de Oliva	3	1	2	276	267	4
12	Regatas	6	2	4	444	451	8
13	Ferrocarril Oeste	6	2	4	492	513	8
14	Obera TC	6	2	4	465	490	8
15	Racing de Chivilcoy	9	3	6	715	745	12
16	San Lorenzo	6	2	4	417	463	8
17	Lanus	10	3	7	771	815	13
18	San Martin	8	1	7	647	703	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Platense	Penarol
San Lorenzo	80-58 W	92-85 W
Ferrocarril Oeste	81-86 L	68-84 L
Quimsa	67-94 L	73-78 L
Olimpico	82-74 W	87-74 W
San Martin	77-79 L	95-76 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Penarol (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Platense

LWLLWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Nacional	80-58	W
21/10	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	81-86	L
17/10	Obera TC Argentina Liga Nacional	86-80	W
07/10	La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional	86-90	L
04/10	Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional	67-94	L
02/10	Olimpico Argentina Liga Nacional	82-74	W
18/04	San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional	77-79	L
16/04	Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional	87-95	L
08/04	Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional	98-86	W
05/04	Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional	72-77	L

Penarol

LLWLWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/11	Olimpico Argentina Liga Nacional	87-74	W
31/10	Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional	73-78	L
28/10	San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional	95-76	W
17/10	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Nacional	92-85	W
15/10	Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional	84-77	W
01/10	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	62-57	W
03/05	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	68-84	L
01/05	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	87-75	W
27/04	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	78-80	L
25/04	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	91-97	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Platense vs Penarol?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Platense 55% · Penarol 45%).

How many points are expected in Platense vs Penarol?

The model estimates 162.6 total points (Platense 82.2 · Penarol 80.4).