Prediction: Ferrocarril Oeste vs Penarol
Team pages: Ferrocarril Oeste · Penarol
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Penarol68-84Ferrocarril Oeste
- Penarol87-75Ferrocarril Oeste
- Ferrocarril Oeste80-78Penarol
- Ferrocarril Oeste97-91Penarol
- Penarol87-80Ferrocarril Oeste
- Ferrocarril Oeste97-84Penarol
| Ferrocarril Oeste | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Ferrocarril Oeste: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ferrocarril Oeste | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.5 / 83.1 | 80.5 / 76.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.2 / 85.8 | 85.2 / 77.6 |
| Est. result | 82 | 80 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferrocarril Oeste 4–0–2 Penarol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Penarol | 68-84 | Ferrocarril Oeste |
| 01/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Penarol | 87-75 | Ferrocarril Oeste |
| 27/04/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Ferrocarril Oeste | 80-78 | Penarol |
| 25/04/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Ferrocarril Oeste | 97-91 | Penarol |
| 20/04/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Penarol | 87-80 | Ferrocarril Oeste |
| 29/09/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Ferrocarril Oeste | 97-84 | Penarol |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 682 | 606 | 15 |
| 2 | Penarol | 7 | 6 | 1 | 572 | 522 | 13 |
| 3 | Instituto | 8 | 6 | 2 | 623 | 612 | 14 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 11 | 8 | 3 | 858 | 830 | 19 |
| 5 | Atenas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 510 | 498 | 10 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 8 | 5 | 3 | 716 | 666 | 13 |
| 7 | Olimpico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 694 | 683 | 12 |
| 8 | Argentino Junin | 8 | 4 | 4 | 623 | 636 | 12 |
| 9 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 4 | 557 | 561 | 10 |
| 10 | Obera TC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 560 | 582 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanus | 11 | 4 | 7 | 864 | 872 | 15 |
| 12 | Independiente de Oliva | 3 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 267 | 4 |
| 13 | La Union Formosa | 6 | 2 | 4 | 469 | 499 | 8 |
| 13 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 9 | 3 | 6 | 715 | 745 | 12 |
| 15 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 4 | 417 | 463 | 8 |
| 16 | Regatas | 7 | 2 | 5 | 513 | 530 | 9 |
| 17 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 7 | 2 | 5 | 576 | 600 | 9 |
| 18 | San Martin | 9 | 2 | 7 | 734 | 787 | 11 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferrocarril Oeste | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin | 84-87 L | 95-76 W |
| Gimnasia Comodoro | 61-73 L | 62-57 W |
| Platense | 86-81 W | 79-75 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Penarol (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferrocarril Oeste
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
84-87 | L |
| 29/10 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
61-73 | L |
| 21/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
86-81 | W |
| 13/10 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
86-91 | L |
| 10/10 | Instituto Argentina Liga Nacional |
94-97 | L |
| 09/10 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
97-92 | W |
| 01/10 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
68-79 | L |
| 03/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
54-88 | L |
| 30/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
81-73 | W |
| 29/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-70 | W |
Penarol
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
79-75 | W |
| 03/11 | Olimpico Argentina Liga Nacional |
87-74 | W |
| 31/10 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-78 | L |
| 28/10 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
95-76 | W |
| 17/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-85 | W |
| 15/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional |
84-77 | W |
| 01/10 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
62-57 | W |
| 03/05 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
68-84 | L |
| 01/05 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
87-75 | W |
| 27/04 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-80 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferrocarril Oeste vs Penarol?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ferrocarril Oeste 56% · Penarol 44%).
How many points are expected in Ferrocarril Oeste vs Penarol?
The model estimates 161.8 total points (Ferrocarril Oeste 81.9 · Penarol 79.8).