Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 06/11, 01:00

Prediction: Obera TC vs Argentino Junin

Team pages: Obera TC · Argentino Junin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

155.9Total

Obera TC81.2

Argentino Junin74.7

1X2

68% 32%

Obera TC Argentino Junin

Recent form · 10 last

Obera TC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLW

Argentino Junin 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Obera TC 5–1 Argentino Junin (6 last)

Argentino Junin70-77Obera TC
Obera TC87-89Argentino Junin
Obera TC94-48Argentino Junin
Argentino Junin67-76Obera TC
Argentino Junin73-78Obera TC
Obera TC103-77Argentino Junin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Obera TC 1438 · Argentino Junin 1490

	Obera TC	Argentino Junin
Our model	55%	45%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 155.9 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -4.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points155.9Obera TC 81.2 · Argentino Junin 74.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentino Junin (rating 1438 vs 1490).
Obera TC is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Obera TC: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Obera TC	Argentino Junin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.3 / 82.7	78.6 / 77.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	73.4 / 81.2	76.2 / 80.2
Est. result	81	75

Est. total155.9

Line O/U160.5

Diff.4.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.95

2 (+8.5)1.74

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 3.55 · Est. total: 156.95

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.30▲	Bet365 1.30
2	3.70 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.79 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	2
06:12 +35’	1.25	3.70
11:33 +14’	1.30▲	3.25▼
12:46 +3’	1.25▼	3.70▲
13:37 +12’	1.30▲	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
04:38 +8’	1.23	4.06
06:30 +17’	1.23▲	4.06
10:34 +14’	1.24▲	3.91▼
23:39 +8’	1.25▲	3.79▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Obera TC 5–0–1 Argentino Junin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Argentina Liga Nacional	Argentino Junin	70-77	Obera TC
23/10/25 Argentina Liga Nacional	Obera TC	87-89	Argentino Junin
01/03/25 Argentina Liga Nacional	Obera TC	94-48	Argentino Junin
17/10/24 Argentina Liga Nacional	Argentino Junin	67-76	Obera TC
14/04/24 Argentina Liga Nacional	Argentino Junin	73-78	Obera TC
08/10/23 Argentina Liga Nacional	Obera TC	103-77	Argentino Junin

Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quimsa	6	6	0	506	443	12
2	Penarol	6	5	1	493	447	11
3	Gimnasia Comodoro	9	7	2	689	659	16
4	Atenas	6	4	2	510	498	10
5	Instituto	6	4	2	448	442	10
6	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	529	510	9
7	Olimpico	6	3	3	517	506	9
8	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	200	190	3
8	La Union Formosa	4	2	2	319	309	6
10	Platense	6	3	3	482	482	9
11	Argentino Junin	6	3	3	460	469	9
12	Racing de Chivilcoy	8	3	5	647	665	11
13	Lanus	8	3	5	606	632	11
14	Ferrocarril Oeste	6	2	4	492	513	8
15	Regatas	4	1	3	299	313	5
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	305	323	5
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	367	406	6
18	San Martin	6	0	6	509	571	6

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Obera TC	Argentino Junin
Boca Juniors	73-96 L	84-82 W
Atenas	78-82 L	88-77 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Argentino Junin (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Obera TC

WLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Nacional	78-73	W
17/10	Platense Argentina Liga Nacional	80-86	L
14/10	Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional	78-84	L
10/10	Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional	58-67	L
08/10	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional	73-96	L
15/05	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional	78-86	L
12/05	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional	80-102	L
09/05	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional	66-70	L
20/04	Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional	78-82	L
17/04	Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional	84-81	W

Argentino Junin

LWWWWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional	57-75	L
24/10	Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional	76-78	L
22/10	Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional	84-82	W
13/10	Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional	82-87	L
11/10	San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional	82-79	W
01/10	Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional	79-68	W
13/05	Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional	88-77	W
10/05	Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional	61-53	W
07/05	Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional	84-78	W
05/05	Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional	93-96	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Obera TC vs Argentino Junin?

Our model gives 68% to Obera TC.

How many points are expected in Obera TC vs Argentino Junin?

The model estimates 155.9 total points (Obera TC 81.2 · Argentino Junin 74.7).