Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 05/10, 18:00

Prediction: Besiktas vs Trabzonspor

Team pages: Besiktas · Trabzonspor

Prediction summary

Estimated points

165Total

Besiktas86.4

Trabzonspor78.6

1X2

71% 29%

Besiktas Trabzonspor

Recent form · 10 last

Besiktas 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLLLL

Trabzonspor 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Besiktas 6–0 Trabzonspor (6 last)

Besiktas86-80Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor84-98Besiktas
Besiktas78-74Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor71-82Besiktas
Besiktas92-62Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor90-91Besiktas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Besiktas 1481 · Trabzonspor 1441

	Besiktas	Trabzonspor
Our model	68%	32%
Market	72%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 165 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points165Besiktas 86.4 · Trabzonspor 78.6

Match keys

Besiktas is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Besiktas: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Besiktas	Trabzonspor
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.2 / 84.7	80.2 / 82.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76.6 / 85.4	77.4 / 84.4
Est. result	86	79

Est. total165

Line O/U165.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.29

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8)1.83

2 (+8)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 163.35

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 15:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.41 → 1.29▼	Bet365 1.29
2	2.72 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
14:55 +5’	1.41	2.72
10:41 +5’	1.36▼	3.00▲
11:42 +3’	1.41▲	2.72▼
12:38 +7’	1.36▼	3.00▲
15:33 +13’	1.29▼	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Besiktas 6–0–0 Trabzonspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Turkiye BSL	Besiktas	86-80	Trabzonspor
16/11/25 Turkiye BSL	Trabzonspor	84-98	Besiktas
27/01/18 Turkiye BSL	Besiktas	78-74	Trabzonspor
08/10/17 Turkiye BSL	Trabzonspor	71-82	Besiktas
29/04/17 Turkiye BSL	Besiktas	92-62	Trabzonspor
31/12/16 Turkiye BSL	Trabzonspor	90-91	Besiktas

Standings · Turkiye BSL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bahcesehir Koleji	2	2	0	182	159	4
2	Anadolu Efes	2	2	0	180	160	4
3	Turk Telekom	2	2	0	151	141	4
4	Galatasaray	2	1	1	173	157	3
5	Merkezefendi Denizli	2	1	1	182	172	3
6	Korfez Basket	2	1	1	172	164	3
7	Pinar Karsiyaka	2	1	1	150	144	3
8	Esenler Erokspor	2	1	1	175	175	3
9	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	163	166	3
10	Petkim Spor	2	1	1	172	177	3
11	Besiktas	2	1	1	171	176	3
12	Tofas	2	1	1	177	190	3
13	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	168	182	3
14	Bordo Basketbol	2	0	2	168	175	2
15	Bursaspor	2	0	2	145	160	2
16	Cayirova	2	0	2	155	186	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Besiktas	Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce	75-77 L	90-93 L
Bahcesehir Koleji	80-71 W	78-94 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Besiktas (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Besiktas

WLLWWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	81-95	L
19/06	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	75-77	L
17/06	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	71-82	L
15/06	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	68-93	L
13/06	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	88-80	W
10/06	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	80-71	W
08/06	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	73-71	W
06/06	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	95-98	L
04/06	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	79-101	L
02/06	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	82-79	W

Trabzonspor

LWLLWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Bursaspor Turkiye BSL	82-76	W
28/05	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	78-94	L
26/05	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	65-91	L
10/05	Mersin BBGSK Turkiye BSL	90-80	W
03/05	Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL	72-81	L
26/04	Galatasaray Turkiye BSL	79-69	W
19/04	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	90-93	L
12/04	Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL	84-90	L
04/04	Tofas Turkiye BSL	91-71	W
27/03	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	71-81	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Besiktas vs Trabzonspor?

Our model gives 71% to Besiktas.

How many points are expected in Besiktas vs Trabzonspor?

The model estimates 165 total points (Besiktas 86.4 · Trabzonspor 78.6).