Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 12/10, 18:00

Prediction: Galatasaray vs Bursaspor

Team pages: Galatasaray · Bursaspor

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.4Total

Galatasaray88.4

Bursaspor78

1X2

77% 23%

Galatasaray Bursaspor

Recent form · 10 last

Galatasaray 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWLWL

Bursaspor 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWLLL

Head-to-head

Galatasaray 4–2 Bursaspor (6 last)

Galatasaray92-70Bursaspor
Bursaspor91-87Galatasaray
Galatasaray95-89Bursaspor
Bursaspor82-105Galatasaray
Bursaspor65-81Galatasaray
Galatasaray80-82Bursaspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Galatasaray 1493 · Bursaspor 1471

	Galatasaray	Bursaspor
Our model	66%	34%
Market	80%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 166.4 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166.4Galatasaray 88.4 · Bursaspor 78

Match keys

Galatasaray is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Galatasaray: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Galatasaray	Bursaspor
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.7 / 83	82 / 84.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.4 / 82.2	80.2 / 79.6
Est. result	88	78

Est. total166.4

Line O/U165.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.83

2 (+10.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 165.51.83

Under 165.51.83

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 165.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
17:41 +41’	1.15	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Galatasaray 4–0–2 Bursaspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Turkiye BSL	Galatasaray	92-70	Bursaspor
06/12/25 Turkiye BSL	Bursaspor	91-87	Galatasaray
12/04/25 Turkiye BSL	Galatasaray	95-89	Bursaspor
13/12/24 Turkiye BSL	Bursaspor	82-105	Galatasaray
17/03/24 Turkiye BSL	Bursaspor	65-81	Galatasaray
17/11/23 Turkiye BSL	Galatasaray	80-82	Bursaspor

Standings · Turkiye BSL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bahcesehir Koleji	2	2	0	182	159	4
2	Anadolu Efes	2	2	0	180	160	4
3	Turk Telekom	2	2	0	151	141	4
4	Galatasaray	2	1	1	173	157	3
5	Merkezefendi Denizli	2	1	1	182	172	3
6	Korfez Basket	2	1	1	172	164	3
7	Pinar Karsiyaka	2	1	1	150	144	3
8	Esenler Erokspor	2	1	1	175	175	3
9	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	163	166	3
10	Petkim Spor	2	1	1	172	177	3
11	Besiktas	2	1	1	171	176	3
12	Tofas	2	1	1	177	190	3
13	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	168	182	3
14	Bordo Basketbol	2	0	2	168	175	2
15	Bursaspor	2	0	2	145	160	2
16	Cayirova	2	0	2	155	186	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Galatasaray	Bursaspor
Pinar Karsiyaka	71-78 L	82-84 L
Trabzonspor	69-79 L	76-82 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bursaspor (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Galatasaray

LWLLWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL	71-78	L
26/09	Cayirova Turkiye BSL	102-79	W
30/05	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	68-71	L
28/05	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	78-75	W
26/05	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	83-108	L
10/05	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	89-82	W
02/05	Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL	87-91	L
26/04	Trabzonspor Turkiye BSL	69-79	L
23/04	Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL	90-80	W
20/04	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	80-87	L

Bursaspor

LWLLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL	69-78	L
27/09	Trabzonspor Turkiye BSL	76-82	L
10/05	Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL	82-84	L
02/05	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	83-82	W
26/04	Buyukcekmece Turkiye BSL	91-72	W
18/04	Mersin BBGSK Turkiye BSL	86-84	W
12/04	Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL	92-94	L
05/04	Galatasaray Turkiye BSL	70-92	L
29/03	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	89-83	W
23/03	Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL	82-91	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Galatasaray vs Bursaspor?

Our model gives 77% to Galatasaray.

How many points are expected in Galatasaray vs Bursaspor?

The model estimates 166.4 total points (Galatasaray 88.4 · Bursaspor 78).