Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 10/10, 17:00
Prediction: Tofas vs Esenler Erokspor
Team pages: Tofas · Esenler Erokspor
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.5Total
Tofas86.5
Esenler Erokspor83
1X2
Tofas
Esenler Erokspor
Recent form · 10 last
Tofas
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Esenler Erokspor
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tofas
0–2
Esenler Erokspor
(2 last)
- Tofas81-91Esenler Erokspor
- Esenler Erokspor92-70Tofas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tofas 1461 · Esenler Erokspor 1482
| Tofas | Esenler Erokspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
169.5 points · Bet365 line 175.5 · -6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points169.5Tofas 86.5 · Esenler Erokspor 83
Match keys
- H2H favours Esenler Erokspor: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tofas | Esenler Erokspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.4 / 89.1 | 79 / 82.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.6 / 83.4 | 78 / 86.8 |
| Est. result | 87 | 83 |
Est. total169.5
Line O/U175.5
Diff.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tofas 0–0–2 Esenler Erokspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Turkiye BSL | Tofas | 81-91 | Esenler Erokspor |
| 31/10/25 Turkiye BSL | Esenler Erokspor | 92-70 | Tofas |
Standings · Turkiye BSL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahcesehir Koleji | 2 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 159 | 4 |
| 2 | Anadolu Efes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 180 | 160 | 4 |
| 3 | Turk Telekom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 151 | 141 | 4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 173 | 157 | 3 |
| 5 | Merkezefendi Denizli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 172 | 3 |
| 6 | Korfez Basket | 2 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 164 | 3 |
| 7 | Pinar Karsiyaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 150 | 144 | 3 |
| 8 | Esenler Erokspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 175 | 3 |
| 9 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 166 | 3 |
| 10 | Petkim Spor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 177 | 3 |
| 11 | Besiktas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 176 | 3 |
| 12 | Tofas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 190 | 3 |
| 13 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 182 | 3 |
| 14 | Bordo Basketbol | 2 | 0 | 2 | 168 | 175 | 2 |
| 15 | Bursaspor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 145 | 160 | 2 |
| 16 | Cayirova | 2 | 0 | 2 | 155 | 186 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tofas | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|
| Merkezefendi Denizli | 87-101 L | 70-69 W |
| Petkim Spor | 73-71 W | 96-87 W |
| Pinar Karsiyaka | 87-78 W | 67-68 L |
| Korfez Basket | 96-100 L | 79-88 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tofas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL |
87-101 | L |
| 25/09 | Bordo Basketbol Turkiye BSL |
90-89 | W |
| 10/05 | Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL |
73-71 | W |
| 03/05 | Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL |
87-78 | W |
| 25/04 | Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL |
76-78 | L |
| 17/04 | Besiktas Turkiye BSL |
84-98 | L |
| 12/04 | Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL |
96-100 | L |
| 04/04 | Trabzonspor Turkiye BSL |
71-91 | L |
| 29/03 | Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL |
82-92 | L |
| 21/03 | Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL |
88-93 | L |
Esenler Erokspor
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL |
96-87 | W |
| 28/09 | Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL |
79-88 | L |
| 29/05 | Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL |
73-96 | L |
| 27/05 | Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL |
72-94 | L |
| 10/05 | Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL |
70-69 | W |
| 02/05 | Bursaspor Turkiye BSL |
82-83 | L |
| 26/04 | Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL |
67-68 | L |
| 19/04 | Buyukcekmece Turkiye BSL |
79-67 | W |
| 15/04 | Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL |
84-93 | L |
| 11/04 | Mersin BBGSK Turkiye BSL |
88-78 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tofas vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our model gives 60% to Tofas.
How many points are expected in Tofas vs Esenler Erokspor?
The model estimates 169.5 total points (Tofas 86.5 · Esenler Erokspor 83).