Prediction: San Martin vs Instituto
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Instituto80-75San Martin
- San Martin75-63Instituto
- Instituto65-71San Martin
- San Martin54-76Instituto
- Instituto70-71San Martin
- San Martin85-77Instituto
| San Martin | Instituto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours San Martin: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| San Martin | Instituto | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.2 / 83.9 | 75.1 / 78.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84 / 89.6 | 71.8 / 78.4 |
| Est. result | 77 | 79 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin 4–0–2 Instituto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Instituto | 80-75 | San Martin |
| 19/11/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | San Martin | 75-63 | Instituto |
| 24/04/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Instituto | 65-71 | San Martin |
| 14/10/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | San Martin | 54-76 | Instituto |
| 04/05/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Instituto | 70-71 | San Martin |
| 05/02/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | San Martin | 85-77 | Instituto |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 74 | 2 |
| 2 | Atenas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Argentino Junin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Olimpico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Instituto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | La Union Formosa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Obera TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Penarol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Quimsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Regatas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | San Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 92 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
97-101 | L |
| 28/04 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
81-83 | L |
| 25/04 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
95-98 | L |
| 20/04 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Nacional |
68-89 | L |
| 18/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
79-77 | W |
| 13/04 | Olimpico Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-67 | W |
| 08/04 | Obras Argentina Liga Nacional |
87-89 | L |
| 29/03 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
82-79 | W |
| 27/03 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-91 | L |
| 21/03 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
71-65 | W |
Instituto
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
71-75 | L |
| 17/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-80 | W |
| 15/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
66-78 | L |
| 12/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
80-74 | W |
| 09/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
59-85 | L |
| 06/05 | Obras Argentina Liga Nacional |
75-73 | W |
| 02/05 | Obras Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-70 | W |
| 01/05 | Obras Argentina Liga Nacional |
76-77 | L |
| 28/04 | Obras Argentina Liga Nacional |
89-95 | L |
| 26/04 | Obras Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin vs Instituto?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (San Martin 46% · Instituto 54%).
How many points are expected in San Martin vs Instituto?
The model estimates 155.9 total points (San Martin 77.2 · Instituto 78.6).