Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 09/10, 03:05
Prediction: San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Comodoro
Team pages: Gimnasia Comodoro
Prediction summary
Estimated points
151.6Total
San Lorenzo74.4
Gimnasia Comodoro77.2
1X2
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia Comodoro
Recent form · 10 last
San Lorenzo
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia Comodoro
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Lorenzo
2–4
Gimnasia Comodoro
(6 last)
- San Lorenzo73-81Gimnasia Comodoro
- Gimnasia Comodoro84-63San Lorenzo
- Gimnasia Comodoro92-81San Lorenzo
- San Lorenzo78-74Gimnasia Comodoro
- San Lorenzo73-72Gimnasia Comodoro
- Gimnasia Comodoro75-67San Lorenzo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Lorenzo 1467 · Gimnasia Comodoro 1553
| San Lorenzo | Gimnasia Comodoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
151.6 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -3.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points151.6San Lorenzo 74.4 · Gimnasia Comodoro 77.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Comodoro (rating 1467 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Gimnasia Comodoro: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| San Lorenzo | Gimnasia Comodoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.3 / 78.9 | 77.4 / 73.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71.2 / 80 | 75 / 77.4 |
| Est. result | 74 | 77 |
Est. total151.6
Line O/U155.5
Diff.3.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Lorenzo 2–0–4 Gimnasia Comodoro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | San Lorenzo | 73-81 | Gimnasia Comodoro |
| 07/11/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Gimnasia Comodoro | 84-63 | San Lorenzo |
| 30/04/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Gimnasia Comodoro | 92-81 | San Lorenzo |
| 25/10/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | San Lorenzo | 78-74 | Gimnasia Comodoro |
| 16/03/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | San Lorenzo | 73-72 | Gimnasia Comodoro |
| 13/01/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Gimnasia Comodoro | 75-67 | San Lorenzo |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 144 | 4 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 96 | 73 | 2 |
| 3 | Argentino Junin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 68 | 2 |
| 4 | Regatas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 63 | 2 |
| 5 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 57 | 2 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 222 | 5 |
| 7 | Atenas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 170 | 3 |
| 7 | Instituto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 144 | 146 | 3 |
| 7 | La Union Formosa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 178 | 3 |
| 10 | Platense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 258 | 4 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | San Martin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 81 | 1 |
| 15 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 79 | 1 |
| 16 | Olimpico | 2 | 0 | 2 | 161 | 173 | 2 |
| 17 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 92 | 1 |
| 18 | Obera TC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 96 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04 | Obras Argentina Liga Nacional |
70-76 | L |
| 15/04 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
70-80 | L |
| 13/04 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
66-80 | L |
| 04/04 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-83 | L |
| 31/03 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-81 | L |
| 26/03 | Olimpico Argentina Liga Nacional |
80-69 | W |
| 19/03 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
107-103 | W |
| 15/03 | Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional |
79-71 | W |
| 09/03 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
72-77 | L |
| 07/03 | Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional |
89-69 | W |
Gimnasia Comodoro
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-86 | W |
| 01/10 | Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional |
57-62 | L |
| 29/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-74 | W |
| 18/06 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
60-88 | L |
| 14/06 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-77 | L |
| 12/06 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
76-59 | W |
| 09/06 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
80-79 | W |
| 07/06 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
82-73 | W |
| 03/06 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
88-54 | W |
| 30/05 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-81 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Comodoro?
Our model gives 58% to Gimnasia Comodoro.
How many points are expected in San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia Comodoro?
The model estimates 151.6 total points (San Lorenzo 74.4 · Gimnasia Comodoro 77.2).