Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 08/10, 02:05
Prediction: Boca Juniors vs Obera TC
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.6Total
Boca Juniors85.1
Obera TC78.5
1X2
Boca Juniors
Obera TC
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Obera TC
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors
4–2
Obera TC
(6 last)
- Boca Juniors86-78Obera TC
- Obera TC80-102Boca Juniors
- Obera TC66-70Boca Juniors
- Obera TC78-62Boca Juniors
- Boca Juniors70-80Obera TC
- Boca Juniors87-77Obera TC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors 1531 · Obera TC 1474
| Boca Juniors | Obera TC | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 67% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.6 points · Bet365 line 159.5 · +4.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.6Boca Juniors 85.1 · Obera TC 78.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors (rating 1531 vs 1474).
- Boca Juniors is a clear favourite (68% market).
- H2H favours Boca Juniors: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Boca Juniors | Obera TC | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87.6 / 86.2 | 78.4 / 80.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.4 / 88.6 | 77.2 / 84.2 |
| Est. result | 85 | 79 |
Est. total163.6
Line O/U159.5
Diff.4.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors 4–0–2 Obera TC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Boca Juniors | 86-78 | Obera TC |
| 12/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Obera TC | 80-102 | Boca Juniors |
| 09/05/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Obera TC | 66-70 | Boca Juniors |
| 26/03/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Obera TC | 78-62 | Boca Juniors |
| 17/12/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Boca Juniors | 70-80 | Obera TC |
| 09/04/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Boca Juniors | 87-77 | Obera TC |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 144 | 4 |
| 2 | Argentino Junin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 68 | 2 |
| 3 | Regatas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 63 | 2 |
| 4 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 57 | 2 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 222 | 5 |
| 6 | Instituto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 144 | 146 | 3 |
| 6 | La Union Formosa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 178 | 3 |
| 8 | Platense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 258 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Obera TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atenas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 83 | 1 |
| 15 | Olimpico | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 82 | 1 |
| 15 | San Martin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 81 | 1 |
| 17 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 79 | 1 |
| 18 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 92 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-94 | L |
| 30/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
99-92 | W |
| 26/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-91 | L |
| 23/05 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
76-88 | L |
| 15/05 | Obera TC Argentina Liga Nacional |
86-78 | W |
| 12/05 | Obera TC Argentina Liga Nacional |
102-80 | W |
| 09/05 | Obera TC Argentina Liga Nacional |
70-66 | W |
| 01/05 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
101-97 | W |
| 28/04 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-81 | W |
| 25/04 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
98-95 | W |
Obera TC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-86 | L |
| 12/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
80-102 | L |
| 09/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
66-70 | L |
| 20/04 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-82 | L |
| 17/04 | Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional |
84-81 | W |
| 13/04 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-70 | W |
| 11/04 | Racing de Chivilcoy Argentina Liga Nacional |
84-91 | L |
| 09/04 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
76-75 | W |
| 28/03 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-84 | L |
| 26/03 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-62 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors vs Obera TC?
Our model gives 68% to Boca Juniors.
How many points are expected in Boca Juniors vs Obera TC?
The model estimates 163.6 total points (Boca Juniors 85.1 · Obera TC 78.5).