Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 09/10, 02:30
Prediction: Independiente de Oliva vs Ferrocarril Oeste
Team pages: Ferrocarril Oeste
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.3Total
Independiente de Oliva80.5
Ferrocarril Oeste79.8
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Independiente de Oliva
Ferrocarril Oeste
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente de Oliva
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Ferrocarril Oeste
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente de Oliva
2–4
Ferrocarril Oeste
(6 last)
- Ferrocarril Oeste88-82Independiente de Oliva
- Independiente de Oliva87-75Ferrocarril Oeste
- Ferrocarril Oeste93-77Independiente de Oliva
- Independiente de Oliva87-92Ferrocarril Oeste
- Ferrocarril Oeste91-79Independiente de Oliva
- Independiente de Oliva91-84Ferrocarril Oeste
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente de Oliva 1509 · Ferrocarril Oeste 1460
| Independiente de Oliva | Ferrocarril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.3 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +1.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.3Independiente de Oliva 80.5 · Ferrocarril Oeste 79.8
Match keys
- H2H favours Ferrocarril Oeste: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Independiente de Oliva | Ferrocarril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.7 / 83.5 | 73.6 / 79 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 72.2 / 75.6 | 70.2 / 77.8 |
| Est. result | 81 | 80 |
Est. total160.3
Line O/U158.5
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente de Oliva 2–0–4 Ferrocarril Oeste
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Ferrocarril Oeste | 88-82 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 14/11/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Independiente de Oliva | 87-75 | Ferrocarril Oeste |
| 08/02/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Ferrocarril Oeste | 93-77 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 16/11/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Independiente de Oliva | 87-92 | Ferrocarril Oeste |
| 16/05/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Ferrocarril Oeste | 91-79 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 15/12/23 Argentina Liga Nacional | Independiente de Oliva | 91-84 | Ferrocarril Oeste |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 144 | 4 |
| 2 | Argentino Junin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 68 | 2 |
| 3 | Regatas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 63 | 2 |
| 4 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 57 | 2 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 222 | 5 |
| 6 | Instituto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 144 | 146 | 3 |
| 6 | La Union Formosa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 178 | 3 |
| 8 | Platense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 258 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Obera TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atenas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 83 | 1 |
| 15 | Olimpico | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 82 | 1 |
| 15 | San Martin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 81 | 1 |
| 17 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 79 | 1 |
| 18 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 92 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente de Oliva
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
71-81 | L |
| 16/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-66 | W |
| 14/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-76 | W |
| 11/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
72-77 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
66-78 | L |
| 03/05 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
97-92 | W |
| 01/05 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-78 | W |
| 27/04 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
62-86 | L |
| 25/04 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
102-91 | W |
| 19/04 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
102-110 | L |
Ferrocarril Oeste
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
68-79 | L |
| 03/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
54-88 | L |
| 30/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
81-73 | W |
| 29/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-70 | W |
| 26/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-79 | L |
| 24/05 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-81 | L |
| 19/05 | Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional |
87-85 | W |
| 16/05 | Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional |
71-79 | L |
| 14/05 | Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional |
90-75 | W |
| 11/05 | Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional |
60-81 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente de Oliva vs Ferrocarril Oeste?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Independiente de Oliva 52% · Ferrocarril Oeste 48%).
How many points are expected in Independiente de Oliva vs Ferrocarril Oeste?
The model estimates 160.3 total points (Independiente de Oliva 80.5 · Ferrocarril Oeste 79.8).