Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 13/09, 09:00
Prediction: SBC Red Lions vs CSB Blazers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
155.9Total
SBC Red Lions81.4
CSB Blazers74.5
1X2
SBC Red Lions
CSB Blazers
Recent form · 10 last
SBC Red Lions
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
CSB Blazers
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SBC Red Lions
4–2
CSB Blazers
(6 last)
- SBC Red Lions84-81CSB Blazers
- CSB Blazers77-75SBC Red Lions
- SBC Red Lions91-72CSB Blazers
- CSB Blazers76-80SBC Red Lions
- CSB Blazers85-96SBC Red Lions
- SBC Red Lions64-102CSB Blazers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SBC Red Lions 1560 · CSB Blazers 1504
| SBC Red Lions | CSB Blazers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
155.9 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · +2.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points155.9SBC Red Lions 81.4 · CSB Blazers 74.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SBC Red Lions (rating 1560 vs 1504).
- SBC Red Lions is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours SBC Red Lions: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| SBC Red Lions | CSB Blazers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84 / 75 | 75.6 / 78.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.4 / 74.2 | 75.8 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 81 | 75 |
Est. total155.9
Line O/U153.5
Diff.2.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · SBC Red Lions 4–0–2 CSB Blazers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/25 Philippines NCAA | SBC Red Lions | 84-81 | CSB Blazers |
| 05/12/25 Philippines NCAA | CSB Blazers | 77-75 | SBC Red Lions |
| 02/12/25 Philippines NCAA | SBC Red Lions | 91-72 | CSB Blazers |
| 07/11/25 Philippines NCAA | CSB Blazers | 76-80 | SBC Red Lions |
| 01/10/25 Philippines NCAA | CSB Blazers | 85-96 | SBC Red Lions |
| 02/07/25 Philippines Preseason Cup | SBC Red Lions | 64-102 | CSB Blazers |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SBC Red Lions | CSB Blazers |
|---|---|---|
| CSJL Knights | 83-71 W | 80-74 W |
| EAC Generals | 96-82 W | 87-82 W |
| JRU Heavy Bombers | 65-56 W | 76-66 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: SBC Red Lions (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SBC Red Lions
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
83-71 | W |
| 10/12 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
89-70 | W |
| 07/12 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
84-81 | W |
| 05/12 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
75-77 | L |
| 02/12 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
91-72 | W |
| 27/11 | LPU Pirates Philippines NCAA |
91-67 | W |
| 23/11 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
83-87 | L |
| 23/11 | Letran Knights Philippines NCAA |
83-87 | L |
| 19/11 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
96-82 | W |
| 15/11 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
65-56 | W |
CSB Blazers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
75-87 | L |
| 07/12 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
81-84 | L |
| 05/12 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
77-75 | W |
| 02/12 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
72-91 | L |
| 28/11 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
74-72 | W |
| 26/11 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
58-73 | L |
| 21/11 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
87-82 | W |
| 18/11 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
76-66 | W |
| 14/11 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
80-74 | W |
| 07/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
76-80 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SBC Red Lions vs CSB Blazers?
Our model gives 69% to SBC Red Lions.
How many points are expected in SBC Red Lions vs CSB Blazers?
The model estimates 155.9 total points (SBC Red Lions 81.4 · CSB Blazers 74.5).