Basketball · Philippines NCAA · 17/09, 11:00
Prediction: CSB Blazers vs LPU Pirates
Team pages: CSB Blazers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.1Total
CSB Blazers80.6
LPU Pirates72.5
1X2
CSB Blazers
LPU Pirates
Recent form · 10 last
CSB Blazers
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LPU Pirates
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSB Blazers
5–1
LPU Pirates
(6 last)
- LPU Pirates72-85CSB Blazers
- LPU Pirates67-70CSB Blazers
- CSB Blazers81-82LPU Pirates
- LPU Pirates78-103CSB Blazers
- CSB Blazers95-89LPU Pirates
- LPU Pirates83-93CSB Blazers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSB Blazers 1544 · LPU Pirates 1433
| CSB Blazers | LPU Pirates | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
153.1 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · -1.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points153.1CSB Blazers 80.6 · LPU Pirates 72.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSB Blazers (rating 1544 vs 1433).
- CSB Blazers is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours CSB Blazers: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CSB Blazers | LPU Pirates | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.7 / 77.2 | 70.9 / 74.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76.4 / 81 | 67.6 / 74.8 |
| Est. result | 81 | 73 |
Est. total153.1
Line O/U154.5
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSB Blazers 5–0–1 LPU Pirates
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Philippines Preseason Cup | LPU Pirates | 72-85 | CSB Blazers |
| 28/10/25 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 67-70 | CSB Blazers |
| 15/11/24 Philippines NCAA | CSB Blazers | 81-82 | LPU Pirates |
| 27/09/24 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 78-103 | CSB Blazers |
| 03/06/24 Philippines Preseason Cup | CSB Blazers | 95-89 | LPU Pirates |
| 10/12/23 Philippines NCAA | LPU Pirates | 83-93 | CSB Blazers |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSB Blazers | LPU Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| SBC Red Lions | 77-68 W | 67-91 L |
| Perpetual Altas | 75-87 L | 57-72 L |
| MU Cardinals | 74-72 W | 73-78 L |
| EAC Generals | 87-82 W | 75-84 L |
| JRU Heavy Bombers | 76-66 W | 78-76 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CSB Blazers (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSB Blazers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
77-68 | W |
| 13/12 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
75-87 | L |
| 07/12 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
81-84 | L |
| 05/12 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
77-75 | W |
| 02/12 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
72-91 | L |
| 28/11 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
74-72 | W |
| 26/11 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
58-73 | L |
| 21/11 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
87-82 | W |
| 18/11 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
76-66 | W |
| 14/11 | CSJL Knights Philippines NCAA |
80-74 | W |
LPU Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
67-91 | L |
| 25/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
70-63 | W |
| 23/11 | Perpetual Altas Philippines NCAA |
57-72 | L |
| 19/11 | AU Chiefs Philippines NCAA |
56-74 | L |
| 15/11 | SSC-R Stags Philippines NCAA |
88-74 | W |
| 07/11 | MU Cardinals Philippines NCAA |
73-78 | L |
| 04/11 | SBC Red Lions Philippines NCAA |
78-66 | W |
| 28/10 | CSB Blazers Philippines NCAA |
67-70 | L |
| 25/10 | EAC Generals Philippines NCAA |
75-84 | L |
| 21/10 | JRU Heavy Bombers Philippines NCAA |
78-76 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSB Blazers vs LPU Pirates?
Our model gives 72% to CSB Blazers.
How many points are expected in CSB Blazers vs LPU Pirates?
The model estimates 153.1 total points (CSB Blazers 80.6 · LPU Pirates 72.5).