Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 24/09, 18:00

Prediction: BC Tartu vs Kalev/Cramo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.9Total

BC Tartu87.5

Kalev/Cramo85.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

BC Tartu Kalev/Cramo

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

BC Tartu 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLWL

Kalev/Cramo 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

BC Tartu 4–2 Kalev/Cramo (6 last)

BC Tartu85-65Kalev/Cramo
Kalev/Cramo116-109BC Tartu
BC Tartu77-83Kalev/Cramo
Kalev/Cramo81-82BC Tartu
BC Tartu83-78Kalev/Cramo
BC Tartu89-81Kalev/Cramo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BC Tartu 1539 · Kalev/Cramo 1589

	BC Tartu	Kalev/Cramo
Our model	56%	44%
Market	56%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 172.9 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +6.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.9BC Tartu 87.5 · Kalev/Cramo 85.4

Match keys

H2H favours BC Tartu: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BC Tartu	Kalev/Cramo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.7 / 83.4	89.2 / 88.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.8 / 88	85.2 / 91.4
Est. result	88	85

Est. total172.9

Line O/U166.5

Diff.6.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

22.12

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.83

2 (+2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 166.51.83

Under 166.51.83

Diff.: 6.2 · Est. total: 172.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
2	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.20 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
12:26 +21’	1.65	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:09 +38’	1.61	2.22
23:14 +32’	1.62▲	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 166.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BC Tartu 4–0–2 Kalev/Cramo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Estonia KML	BC Tartu	85-65	Kalev/Cramo
26/05/26 Estonia KML	Kalev/Cramo	116-109	BC Tartu
23/05/26 Estonia KML	BC Tartu	77-83	Kalev/Cramo
20/05/26 Estonia KML	Kalev/Cramo	81-82	BC Tartu
16/05/26 Estonia KML	BC Tartu	83-78	Kalev/Cramo
03/04/26 Latvia-Estonia BL	BC Tartu	89-81	Kalev/Cramo

Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valmiera	1	1	0	82	73	2
2	Kalev/Cramo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Parnu	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Liepajas Lauvas	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ogre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ventspils	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Keila Basket	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Keila	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Latvijas Universitate	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Rigas Zelli	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TALTECH	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	BC Tartu	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VEF Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rigas Ekselences Juniori	1	0	1	73	82	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BC Tartu	Kalev/Cramo
TALTECH	76-78 L	91-78 W
VEF Riga	67-76 L	72-87 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BC Tartu

WLLLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/04	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	95-100	L
03/04	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	89-81	W
01/04	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	83-86	L
28/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	98-85	W
23/03	Parnu Latvia-Estonia BL	89-88	W
20/03	Parnu Latvia-Estonia BL	80-71	W
14/03	TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL	76-78	L
10/03	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	67-76	L
07/03	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	79-99	L
04/03	Parnu Latvia-Estonia BL	91-70	W

Kalev/Cramo

WWWLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/04	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	72-87	L
03/04	BC Tartu Latvia-Estonia BL	81-89	L
01/04	BC Tartu Latvia-Estonia BL	86-83	W
28/03	BC Tartu Latvia-Estonia BL	85-98	L
25/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	102-100	W
22/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	93-86	W
20/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	69-83	L
14/03	Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL	109-84	W
10/03	Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL	104-93	W
08/03	TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL	91-78	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BC Tartu vs Kalev/Cramo?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BC Tartu 56% · Kalev/Cramo 44%).

How many points are expected in BC Tartu vs Kalev/Cramo?

The model estimates 172.9 total points (BC Tartu 87.5 · Kalev/Cramo 85.4).