Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 03/10, 17:00
Prediction: Keila vs Valmiera
Team pages: Valmiera
Prediction summary
Estimated points
176.2Total
Keila83.8
Valmiera92.4
1X2
Keila
Valmiera
Recent form · 10 last
Keila
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Valmiera
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Keila
1–5
Valmiera
(6 last)
- Keila74-96Valmiera
- Valmiera86-81Keila
- Valmiera90-54Keila
- Keila71-94Valmiera
- Keila77-80Valmiera
- Valmiera91-97Keila
Model analysis
Estimated points176.2Keila 83.8 · Valmiera 92.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valmiera (rating 1373 vs 1639).
- Valmiera is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Valmiera: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Keila | Valmiera | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.6 / 95.6 | 91.2 / 77.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.8 / 98.4 | 92.8 / 77.4 |
| Est. result | 84 | 92 |
Est. total176.2
Line O/U169.5
Diff.6.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keila 1–0–5 Valmiera
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Latvia-Estonia BL | Keila | 74-96 | Valmiera |
| 21/11/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Valmiera | 86-81 | Keila |
| 14/01/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Valmiera | 90-54 | Keila |
| 02/11/24 Latvia-Estonia BL | Keila | 71-94 | Valmiera |
| 24/03/24 Latvia-Estonia BL | Keila | 77-80 | Valmiera |
| 21/11/23 ENBL | Valmiera | 91-97 | Keila |
Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VEF Riga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 286 | 199 | 6 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 3 | 3 | 0 | 275 | 205 | 6 |
| 3 | BC Tartu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 146 | 4 |
| 4 | Rigas Zelli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 173 | 144 | 4 |
| 5 | Parnu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 76 | 73 | 2 |
| 6 | Kalev/Cramo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 152 | 156 | 3 |
| 7 | Ventspils | 2 | 1 | 1 | 184 | 190 | 3 |
| 8 | TALTECH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 79 | 1 |
| 9 | Liepajas Lauvas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 156 | 163 | 2 |
| 10 | Rigas Ekselences Juniori | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 82 | 1 |
| 11 | Ogre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 92 | 1 |
| 12 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 89 | 1 |
| 13 | Keila | 1 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 90 | 1 |
| 14 | Latvijas Universitate | 2 | 0 | 2 | 158 | 212 | 2 |
| 15 | Keila Basket | 2 | 0 | 2 | 127 | 189 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Keila | Valmiera |
|---|---|---|
| VEF Riga | 60-90 L | 89-87 W |
| Keila Basket | 83-93 L | 95-56 W |
| Ventspils | 80-84 L | 98-76 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Valmiera (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keila
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
60-90 | L |
| 14/03 | Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL |
74-96 | L |
| 11/03 | Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL |
83-93 | L |
| 07/03 | Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL |
119-115 | W |
| 03/03 | Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL |
73-98 | L |
| 22/02 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL |
73-95 | L |
| 07/02 | Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL |
80-84 | L |
| 04/02 | Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL |
99-112 | L |
| 27/01 | Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL |
69-91 | L |
| 21/01 | Liepajas Lauvas Latvia-Estonia BL |
86-82 | W |
Valmiera
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL |
95-56 | W |
| 25/09 | Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL |
98-76 | W |
| 22/09 | Rigas Ekselences Juniori Latvia-Estonia BL |
82-73 | W |
| 08/04 | BC Tartu Latvia-Estonia BL |
100-95 | W |
| 03/04 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
89-87 | W |
| 01/04 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
97-83 | W |
| 29/03 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
67-79 | L |
| 23/03 | TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL |
83-74 | W |
| 18/03 | TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL |
105-80 | W |
| 14/03 | Keila Latvia-Estonia BL |
96-74 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keila vs Valmiera?
Our model gives 73% to Valmiera.
How many points are expected in Keila vs Valmiera?
The model estimates 176.2 total points (Keila 83.8 · Valmiera 92.4).