Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: TALTECH vs VEF Riga

Team pages: TALTECH · VEF Riga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.7Total

TALTECH82.2

VEF Riga80.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

TALTECH VEF Riga

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

TALTECH 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLLLW

VEF Riga 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

TALTECH 1–5 VEF Riga (6 last)

TALTECH75-102VEF Riga
VEF Riga98-72TALTECH
VEF Riga82-52TALTECH
TALTECH80-93VEF Riga
VEF Riga95-59TALTECH
TALTECH80-78VEF Riga

Model analysis

Estimated points162.7TALTECH 82.2 · VEF Riga 80.5

Match keys

H2H favours VEF Riga: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TALTECH	VEF Riga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.6 / 86.3	86.3 / 72.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78 / 81.4	91 / 65.2
Est. result	82	81

Est. total162.7

Line O/U161.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 161.51.88

Under 161.51.85

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 163.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 20:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.77▲	Pinn 4.77
2	1.16 → 1.13▼	Pinn 1.13

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 9.5%

Time*	1	2
17:06 +1’	4.33	1.16
17:23 +48’	4.90▲	1.12▼
18:34 +40’	4.83▼	1.13▲
19:39 +35’	4.77▼	1.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TALTECH 1–0–5 VEF Riga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Latvia-Estonia BL	TALTECH	75-102	VEF Riga
11/10/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	VEF Riga	98-72	TALTECH
21/12/24 Latvia-Estonia BL	VEF Riga	82-52	TALTECH
23/10/24 Latvia-Estonia BL	TALTECH	80-93	VEF Riga
15/12/23 Latvia-Estonia BL	VEF Riga	95-59	TALTECH
30/09/23 Latvia-Estonia BL	TALTECH	80-78	VEF Riga

Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VEF Riga	4	4	0	368	254	8
2	Valmiera	4	4	0	381	287	8
3	Rigas Zelli	3	3	0	283	229	6
4	Tartu Ulikool	3	2	1	262	238	5
5	Ventspils	3	2	1	276	275	5
6	Kalev/Cramo	3	2	1	231	234	5
7	Rigas Ekselences Juniori	3	2	1	249	250	5
8	TALTECH	2	1	1	158	143	3
9	Parnu	2	1	1	154	152	3
10	Latvijas Universitate	4	1	3	330	383	5
11	Liepajas Lauvas	3	0	3	211	245	3
12	Ogre	2	0	2	158	202	2
13	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	3	0	3	211	256	3
14	Keila	2	0	2	142	196	2
15	Keila Basket	3	0	3	204	274	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TALTECH	VEF Riga
Valmiera	74-83 L	87-89 L
Kalev/Cramo	78-91 L	87-72 W
Latvijas Universitate	109-92 W	104-66 W
Ogre	78-76 W	92-73 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: VEF Riga (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TALTECH

LWLWLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL	85-64	W
26/09	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	73-79	L
23/03	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	74-83	L
18/03	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	80-105	L
14/03	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	78-76	W
08/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	78-91	L
04/03	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	109-92	W
02/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	86-95	L
14/02	Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL	78-76	W
07/02	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	75-102	L

VEF Riga

LWWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Liepajas Lauvas Latvia-Estonia BL	82-55	W
29/09	Keila Latvia-Estonia BL	90-60	W
26/09	Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL	92-73	W
23/09	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	104-66	W
07/04	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	87-72	W
03/04	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	87-89	L
01/04	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	83-97	L
29/03	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	79-67	W
24/03	Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL	90-71	W
22/03	Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL	69-72	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TALTECH vs VEF Riga?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (TALTECH 55% · VEF Riga 45%).

How many points are expected in TALTECH vs VEF Riga?

The model estimates 162.7 total points (TALTECH 82.2 · VEF Riga 80.5).