Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Parnu vs Keila
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164Total
Parnu86.9
Keila77.1
1X2
Parnu
Keila
Recent form · 10 last
Parnu
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Keila
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Parnu
6–0
Keila
(6 last)
- Parnu76-72Keila
- Keila70-97Parnu
- Parnu91-82Keila
- Keila68-98Parnu
- Keila59-97Parnu
- Parnu87-67Keila
Model analysis
Estimated points164Parnu 86.9 · Keila 77.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parnu (rating 1451 vs 1341).
- Parnu is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours Parnu: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Parnu | Keila | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.5 / 80.5 | 81.2 / 98 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.2 / 79.2 | 83.6 / 100 |
| Est. result | 87 | 77 |
Est. total164
Line O/U165.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parnu 6–0–0 Keila
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Parnu | 76-72 | Keila |
| 06/12/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Keila | 70-97 | Parnu |
| 25/01/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Parnu | 91-82 | Keila |
| 28/12/24 Latvia-Estonia BL | Keila | 68-98 | Parnu |
| 24/09/24 Estonia Cup | Keila | 59-97 | Parnu |
| 02/05/24 Estonia KML | Parnu | 87-67 | Keila |
Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VEF Riga | 4 | 4 | 0 | 368 | 254 | 8 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 4 | 4 | 0 | 381 | 287 | 8 |
| 3 | Rigas Zelli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 283 | 229 | 6 |
| 4 | Tartu Ulikool | 3 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 238 | 5 |
| 5 | Ventspils | 3 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 275 | 5 |
| 6 | Kalev/Cramo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 234 | 5 |
| 7 | Rigas Ekselences Juniori | 3 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 250 | 5 |
| 8 | TALTECH | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 143 | 3 |
| 9 | Parnu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 152 | 3 |
| 10 | Latvijas Universitate | 4 | 1 | 3 | 330 | 383 | 5 |
| 11 | Liepajas Lauvas | 3 | 0 | 3 | 211 | 245 | 3 |
| 12 | Ogre | 2 | 0 | 2 | 158 | 202 | 2 |
| 13 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK | 3 | 0 | 3 | 211 | 256 | 3 |
| 14 | Keila | 2 | 0 | 2 | 142 | 196 | 2 |
| 15 | Keila Basket | 3 | 0 | 3 | 204 | 274 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parnu | Keila |
|---|---|---|
| Kalev/Cramo | 78-79 L | 73-98 L |
| KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK | 88-75 W | 73-95 L |
| Rigas Zelli | 75-83 L | 69-91 L |
| VEF Riga | 62-72 L | 60-90 L |
| Latvijas Universitate | 72-71 W | 119-115 W |
| Valmiera | 85-92 L | 82-106 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Parnu (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parnu
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL |
78-79 | L |
| 26/09 | Liepajas Lauvas Latvia-Estonia BL |
76-73 | W |
| 23/03 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
88-89 | L |
| 20/03 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
71-80 | L |
| 11/03 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL |
88-75 | W |
| 07/03 | Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL |
75-83 | L |
| 04/03 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
70-91 | L |
| 11/02 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
62-72 | L |
| 07/02 | Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL |
72-71 | W |
| 03/02 | Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL |
85-92 | L |
Keila
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL |
82-106 | L |
| 29/09 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
60-90 | L |
| 14/03 | Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL |
74-96 | L |
| 11/03 | Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL |
83-93 | L |
| 07/03 | Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL |
119-115 | W |
| 03/03 | Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL |
73-98 | L |
| 22/02 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL |
73-95 | L |
| 07/02 | Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL |
80-84 | L |
| 04/02 | Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL |
99-112 | L |
| 27/01 | Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL |
69-91 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parnu vs Keila?
Our model gives 76% to Parnu.
How many points are expected in Parnu vs Keila?
The model estimates 164 total points (Parnu 86.9 · Keila 77.1).