Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 30/10, 17:30

Prediction: Ventspils vs KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK

Team pages: Ventspils · KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.8Total

Ventspils90.6

KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK74.2

1X2

88% 12%

Ventspils KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK

Recent form · 10 last

Ventspils 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ventspils 5–1 KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK (6 last)

KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK83-81Ventspils
Ventspils113-88KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
Ventspils106-57KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK89-94Ventspils
Ventspils97-90KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK75-104Ventspils

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ventspils 1525 · KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK 1377

	Ventspils	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
Our model	80%	20%
Market	90%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 164.8 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.8Ventspils 90.6 · KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK 74.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ventspils (rating 1525 vs 1377).
Ventspils is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Ventspils: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ventspils	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.8 / 82.5	73.8 / 87.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.4 / 79.8	79.4 / 82.6
Est. result	91	74

Est. total164.8

Line O/U167.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-16.5)1.83

2 (+16.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 4.85 · Est. total: 162.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.04▲	Pinn 1.04 ★
2	9.75 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	2
12:37 +10’	1.03	9.75
14:41 +6’	1.04▲	9.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
12:46 +1’	1.04	7.60
14:35 +12’	1.04	7.64▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventspils 5–0–1 KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Latvia-Estonia BL	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	83-81	Ventspils
07/11/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Ventspils	113-88	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
07/02/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Ventspils	106-57	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
06/11/24 Latvia-Estonia BL	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	89-94	Ventspils
15/03/24 Latvia-Estonia BL	Ventspils	97-90	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
15/10/23 Latvia-Estonia BL	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	75-104	Ventspils

Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VEF Riga	7	7	0	644	485	14
2	Rigas Zelli	6	6	0	565	442	12
3	Valmiera	7	6	1	642	530	13
4	Ventspils	7	5	2	621	589	12
5	Tartu Ulikool	6	4	2	490	444	10
6	Kalev/Cramo	6	4	2	502	476	10
7	TALTECH	8	5	3	592	588	13
8	Rigas Ekselences Juniori	6	3	3	505	530	9
9	Keila	7	3	4	517	590	10
10	Parnu	5	2	3	387	393	7
11	Ogre	6	2	4	506	526	8
12	Liepajas Lauvas	6	1	5	449	496	7
13	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	7	1	6	527	587	8
14	Latvijas Universitate	9	1	8	692	827	10
15	Keila Basket	7	0	7	491	627	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ventspils	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK
Ogre	92-88 W	69-76 L
TALTECH	82-85 L	64-85 L
Kalev/Cramo	86-73 W	66-89 L
Latvijas Universitate	108-92 W	88-86 W
Valmiera	76-98 L	87-91 L
VEF Riga	71-90 L	62-107 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Ventspils (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ventspils

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL	92-88	W
16/10	TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL	82-85	L
11/10	Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL	85-68	W
10/10	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	86-73	W
02/10	Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL	92-85	W
28/09	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	108-92	W
25/09	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	76-98	L
24/03	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	71-90	L
22/03	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	72-69	W
18/03	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	54-77	L

KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK

LLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/10	Keila Latvia-Estonia BL	72-78	L
20/10	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	88-86	W
16/10	Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL	69-76	L
11/10	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	87-91	L
07/10	Rigas Ekselences Juniori Latvia-Estonia BL	81-82	L
04/10	TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL	64-85	L
27/09	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	66-89	L
14/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	74-90	L
11/03	Parnu Latvia-Estonia BL	75-88	L
08/03	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	62-107	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ventspils vs KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK?

Our model gives 88% to Ventspils.

How many points are expected in Ventspils vs KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK?

The model estimates 164.8 total points (Ventspils 90.6 · KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK 74.2).