Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 01/11, 13:00
Prediction: Parnu vs Valmiera
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.4Total
Parnu80.4
Valmiera84
1X2
Parnu
Valmiera
Recent form · 10 last
Parnu
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Valmiera
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Parnu
1–5
Valmiera
(6 last)
- Valmiera92-85Parnu
- Parnu62-78Valmiera
- Valmiera102-79Parnu
- Parnu83-78Valmiera
- Valmiera61-56Parnu
- Parnu68-70Valmiera
Model analysis
Estimated points164.4Parnu 80.4 · Valmiera 84
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valmiera (rating 1457 vs 1617).
- H2H favours Valmiera: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Parnu | Valmiera | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.9 / 81.1 | 92.8 / 79.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77.4 / 78.6 | 92.4 / 76.2 |
| Est. result | 80 | 84 |
Est. total164.4
Line O/U162.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parnu 1–0–5 Valmiera
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Latvia-Estonia BL | Valmiera | 92-85 | Parnu |
| 08/11/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Parnu | 62-78 | Valmiera |
| 15/03/25 Latvia-Estonia BL | Valmiera | 102-79 | Parnu |
| 26/10/24 Latvia-Estonia BL | Parnu | 83-78 | Valmiera |
| 05/03/24 Latvia-Estonia BL | Valmiera | 61-56 | Parnu |
| 14/10/23 Latvia-Estonia BL | Parnu | 68-70 | Valmiera |
Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VEF Riga | 7 | 7 | 0 | 644 | 485 | 14 |
| 2 | Rigas Zelli | 6 | 6 | 0 | 565 | 442 | 12 |
| 3 | Valmiera | 7 | 6 | 1 | 642 | 530 | 13 |
| 4 | Ventspils | 7 | 5 | 2 | 621 | 589 | 12 |
| 5 | Tartu Ulikool | 6 | 4 | 2 | 490 | 444 | 10 |
| 6 | Kalev/Cramo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 502 | 476 | 10 |
| 7 | TALTECH | 8 | 5 | 3 | 592 | 588 | 13 |
| 8 | Rigas Ekselences Juniori | 6 | 3 | 3 | 505 | 530 | 9 |
| 9 | Keila | 7 | 3 | 4 | 517 | 590 | 10 |
| 10 | Parnu | 5 | 2 | 3 | 387 | 393 | 7 |
| 11 | Ogre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 506 | 526 | 8 |
| 12 | Liepajas Lauvas | 6 | 1 | 5 | 449 | 496 | 7 |
| 13 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK | 7 | 1 | 6 | 527 | 587 | 8 |
| 14 | Latvijas Universitate | 9 | 1 | 8 | 692 | 827 | 10 |
| 15 | Keila Basket | 7 | 0 | 7 | 491 | 627 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parnu | Valmiera |
|---|---|---|
| Latvijas Universitate | 91-77 W | 81-59 W |
| VEF Riga | 72-89 L | 89-97 L |
| Keila | 70-75 L | 106-82 W |
| Tartu Ulikool | 88-89 L | 100-95 W |
| KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK | 88-75 W | 91-87 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Valmiera (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parnu
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL |
91-77 | W |
| 17/10 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
72-89 | L |
| 10/10 | Keila Latvia-Estonia BL |
70-75 | L |
| 03/10 | Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL |
78-79 | L |
| 26/09 | Liepajas Lauvas Latvia-Estonia BL |
76-73 | W |
| 23/03 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
88-89 | L |
| 20/03 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
71-80 | L |
| 11/03 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL |
88-75 | W |
| 07/03 | Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL |
75-83 | L |
| 04/03 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
70-91 | L |
Valmiera
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
89-97 | L |
| 17/10 | Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL |
81-59 | W |
| 11/10 | KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL |
91-87 | W |
| 03/10 | Keila Latvia-Estonia BL |
106-82 | W |
| 29/09 | Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL |
95-56 | W |
| 25/09 | Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL |
98-76 | W |
| 22/09 | Rigas Ekselences Juniori Latvia-Estonia BL |
82-73 | W |
| 08/04 | Tartu Ulikool Latvia-Estonia BL |
100-95 | W |
| 03/04 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
89-87 | W |
| 01/04 | VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL |
97-83 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parnu vs Valmiera?
Our model gives 60% to Valmiera.
How many points are expected in Parnu vs Valmiera?
The model estimates 164.4 total points (Parnu 80.4 · Valmiera 84).