Basketball · Latvia-Estonia BL · 25/09, 18:30

Prediction: Keila Basket vs Rigas Zelli

Prediction summary

Estimated points

180.3Total

Keila Basket86.9

Rigas Zelli93.4

1X2

32% 68%

Keila Basket Rigas Zelli

Recent form · 10 last

Keila Basket 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLWL

Rigas Zelli 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Keila Basket 0–4 Rigas Zelli (4 last)

Keila Basket88-102Rigas Zelli
Rigas Zelli94-83Keila Basket
Keila Basket60-84Rigas Zelli
Rigas Zelli87-80Keila Basket

Model analysis

Estimated points180.3Keila Basket 86.9 · Rigas Zelli 93.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rigas Zelli (rating 1340 vs 1560).
Rigas Zelli is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Rigas Zelli: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Keila Basket	Rigas Zelli
Points F\|A (Last 10)	84.1 / 98.5	87.9 / 84.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.4 / 97.8	92.2 / 85.2
Est. result	87	93

Est. total180.3

Line O/U173

Diff.7.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1731.88

Under 1731.85

Diff.: 4.5 · Est. total: 177.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	10.27 → 10.68▲	Pinn 10.68
2	1.02 → 1.02▼	Pinn 1.02

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	2
18:48 +1’	10.27	1.02
19:04 +44’	10.68▲	1.02▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Keila Basket 0–0–4 Rigas Zelli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Latvia-Estonia BL	Keila Basket	88-102	Rigas Zelli
21/11/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Rigas Zelli	94-83	Keila Basket
07/02/25 Latvia-Estonia BL	Keila Basket	60-84	Rigas Zelli
12/10/24 Latvia-Estonia BL	Rigas Zelli	87-80	Keila Basket

Standings · Latvia-Estonia BL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valmiera	1	1	0	82	73	2
2	Kalev/Cramo	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Parnu	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Liepajas Lauvas	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ogre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Ventspils	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Keila Basket	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Keila	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Latvijas Universitate	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Rigas Zelli	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	TALTECH	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	BC Tartu	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VEF Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rigas Ekselences Juniori	1	0	1	73	82	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Keila Basket	Rigas Zelli
Parnu	82-98 L	83-75 W
Kalev/Cramo	68-111 L	100-102 L
TALTECH	79-90 L	95-86 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rigas Zelli (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Keila Basket

LLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/03	Rigas Zelli Latvia-Estonia BL	88-102	L
11/03	Keila Latvia-Estonia BL	93-83	W
06/03	Ventspils Latvia-Estonia BL	83-95	L
14/02	Valmiera Latvia-Estonia BL	74-110	L
06/02	VEF Riga Latvia-Estonia BL	89-99	L
04/02	Latvijas Universitate Latvia-Estonia BL	96-101	L
31/01	Parnu Latvia-Estonia BL	82-98	L
28/01	Liepajas Lauvas Latvia-Estonia BL	89-96	L
24/01	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	68-111	L
16/01	TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL	79-90	L

Rigas Zelli

LLWWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	100-102	L
22/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	86-93	L
20/03	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	83-69	W
14/03	KK Viimsi/Kesklinn KK Latvia-Estonia BL	90-74	W
13/03	Keila Basket Latvia-Estonia BL	102-88	W
07/03	Parnu Latvia-Estonia BL	83-75	W
02/03	TALTECH Latvia-Estonia BL	95-86	W
18/02	Ogre Latvia-Estonia BL	90-83	W
14/02	BC Tartu Latvia-Estonia BL	80-83	L
07/02	Kalev/Cramo Latvia-Estonia BL	70-92	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Keila Basket vs Rigas Zelli?

Our model gives 68% to Rigas Zelli.

How many points are expected in Keila Basket vs Rigas Zelli?

The model estimates 180.3 total points (Keila Basket 86.9 · Rigas Zelli 93.4).