Basketball · Brazil NBB · 20/10, 00:30

Prediction: Franca vs Sao Jose

Team pages: Franca · Sao Jose

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.9Total

Franca86.7

Sao Jose72.2

1X2

85% 15%

Franca Sao Jose

Recent form · 10 last

Franca 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWLW

Sao Jose 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Franca 4–2 Sao Jose (6 last)

Sao Jose75-60Franca
Sao Jose91-93Franca
Franca104-85Sao Jose
Franca91-54Sao Jose
Sao Jose76-84Franca
Sao Jose84-69Franca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Franca 1593 · Sao Jose 1434

	Franca	Sao Jose
Our model	81%	19%
Market	86%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 158.9 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points158.9Franca 86.7 · Sao Jose 72.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Franca (rating 1593 vs 1434).
Franca is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Franca: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Franca	Sao Jose
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.9 / 74	77.9 / 80.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81 / 76.8	74.2 / 79.4
Est. result	87	72

Est. total158.9

Line O/U158.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.09

26.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-13.5)1.83

2 (+13.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 158.51.83

Under 158.51.83

Diff.: 3.95 · Est. total: 154.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.09 → 1.09	Bet365 1.09
2	6.75 → 6.75	Bet365 6.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6%

Time*	1	2
18:15 +30’	1.09	6.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Franca 4–0–2 Sao Jose

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Brazil FPB	Sao Jose	75-60	Franca
02/04/26 Brazil NBB	Sao Jose	91-93	Franca
05/12/25 Brazil NBB	Franca	104-85	Sao Jose
02/10/25 Brazil FPB	Franca	91-54	Sao Jose
28/09/25 Brazil FPB	Sao Jose	76-84	Franca
07/09/25 Brazil Paulista 1 Div.	Sao Jose	84-69	Franca

Standings · Brazil NBB

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Unifacisa	1	1	0	96	70
2	Mogi das Cruzes	1	1	0	84	73
3	Cruzeiro	1	1	0	72	61
4	Bauru	1	1	0	82	81
5	Botafogo	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brasilia	0	0	0	0	0
5	Paulistano	0	0	0	0	0
5	Pinheiros	0	0	0	0	0
5	Uniao Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fortaleza BC	0	0	0	0	0
5	Minas	0	0	0	0	0
5	Pato Basquete	0	0	0	0	0
5	Sao Jose	0	0	0	0	0
5	Franca	0	0	0	0	0
15	Flamengo	1	0	1	81	82
16	Corinthians	1	0	1	73	84
17	Caxias Do Sul	1	0	1	61	72
18	Osasco	1	0	1	70	96

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Franca	Sao Jose
Pinheiros	85-76 W	76-75 W
Brasilia	68-66 W	78-90 L
Mogi das Cruzes	78-77 W	70-81 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Franca (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Franca

WWLWLWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/06	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	85-76	W
04/06	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	92-94	L
03/06	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	78-75	W
31/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	82-73	W
29/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	68-66	W
27/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	69-71	L
24/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	91-74	W
22/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	50-67	L
19/05	Brasilia Brazil NBB	76-67	W
16/05	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	78-77	W

Sao Jose

WWLLWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	70-81	L
25/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	75-79	L
23/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	70-75	L
18/04	Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB	88-97	L
16/04	Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB	68-65	W
11/04	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	76-75	W
08/04	Brasilia Brazil NBB	78-90	L
02/04	Franca Brazil NBB	91-93	L
23/03	Rio Claro Brazil NBB	82-76	W
18/03	Pato Basquete Brazil NBB	81-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Franca vs Sao Jose?

Our model gives 85% to Franca.

How many points are expected in Franca vs Sao Jose?

The model estimates 158.9 total points (Franca 86.7 · Sao Jose 72.2).