Basketball · Brazil NBB · 27/10, 23:30
Prediction: Cruzeiro vs Brasilia
Team pages: Cruzeiro · Brasilia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.5Total
Cruzeiro79.3
Brasilia83.2
1X2
Cruzeiro
Brasilia
Recent form · 10 last
Cruzeiro
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Brasilia
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cruzeiro
0–4
Brasilia
(4 last)
- Cruzeiro71-80Brasilia
- Cruzeiro87-93Brasilia
- Brasilia79-65Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro80-91Brasilia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cruzeiro 1471 · Brasilia 1567
| Cruzeiro | Brasilia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 37% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.5 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.5Cruzeiro 79.3 · Brasilia 83.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brasilia (rating 1471 vs 1567).
- H2H favours Brasilia: 4-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cruzeiro | Brasilia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.4 / 86.8 | 79.8 / 77.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82 / 85.8 | 81.2 / 78.6 |
| Est. result | 79 | 83 |
Est. total162.5
Line O/U160.5
Diff.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruzeiro 0–0–4 Brasilia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/26 Club Friendlies | Cruzeiro | 71-80 | Brasilia |
| 20/02/26 Brazil NBB | Cruzeiro | 87-93 | Brasilia |
| 15/11/25 Brazil NBB | Brasilia | 79-65 | Cruzeiro |
| 01/10/25 Club Friendlies | Cruzeiro | 80-91 | Brasilia |
Standings · Brazil NBB
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasilia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 165 | 0 |
| 2 | Minas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 166 | 137 | 0 |
| 3 | Mogi das Cruzes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 315 | 294 | 0 |
| 4 | Unifacisa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 213 | 0 |
| 5 | Franca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 211 | 0 |
| 6 | Bauru | 3 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 228 | 0 |
| 7 | Uniao Corinthians | 2 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 162 | 0 |
| 8 | Paulistano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 153 | 165 | 0 |
| 9 | Pato Basquete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 168 | 0 |
| 10 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 144 | 0 |
| 11 | Pinheiros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 144 | 0 |
| 12 | Flamengo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 162 | 153 | 0 |
| 13 | Osasco | 2 | 1 | 1 | 163 | 165 | 0 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 3 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 236 | 0 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 159 | 170 | 0 |
| 16 | Caxias Do Sul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 127 | 150 | 0 |
| 17 | Sao Jose | 2 | 0 | 2 | 127 | 173 | 0 |
| 18 | Fortaleza BC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 132 | 191 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cruzeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Uniao Corinthians Brazil NBB |
74-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Caxias Do Sul Brazil NBB |
72-61 | W |
| 30/04 | Minas Brazil NBB |
93-103 | L |
| 26/04 | Minas Brazil NBB |
74-101 | L |
| 25/04 | Minas Brazil NBB |
97-81 | W |
| 21/04 | Minas Brazil NBB |
94-99 | L |
| 17/04 | Fortaleza BC Brazil NBB |
86-77 | W |
| 15/04 | Unifacisa Brazil NBB |
91-101 | L |
| 11/04 | CR Vasco Da Gama Brazil NBB |
89-72 | W |
| 08/04 | Flamengo Brazil NBB |
84-90 | L |
Brasilia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Paulistano Brazil NBB |
91-73 | W |
| 23/10 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
104-92 | W |
| 29/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
66-68 | L |
| 27/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
71-69 | W |
| 24/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
74-91 | L |
| 22/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
67-50 | W |
| 19/05 | Franca Brazil NBB |
67-76 | L |
| 16/05 | Flamengo Brazil NBB |
72-69 | W |
| 14/05 | Flamengo Brazil NBB |
88-96 | L |
| 10/05 | Flamengo Brazil NBB |
98-90 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cruzeiro vs Brasilia?
Our model gives 61% to Brasilia.
How many points are expected in Cruzeiro vs Brasilia?
The model estimates 162.5 total points (Cruzeiro 79.3 · Brasilia 83.2).