Basketball · Brazil NBB · 24/10, 00:30

Prediction: Bauru vs Mogi das Cruzes

Team pages: Bauru · Mogi das Cruzes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.4Total

Bauru78.5

Mogi das Cruzes79.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Bauru Mogi das Cruzes

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Bauru 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWLW

Mogi das Cruzes 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Bauru 2–4 Mogi das Cruzes (6 last)

Mogi das Cruzes88-71Bauru
Mogi das Cruzes87-79Bauru
Bauru62-58Mogi das Cruzes
Bauru60-67Mogi das Cruzes
Mogi das Cruzes79-71Bauru
Mogi das Cruzes62-80Bauru

Model analysis

Estimated points158.4Bauru 78.5 · Mogi das Cruzes 79.9

Match keys

H2H favours Mogi das Cruzes: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bauru	Mogi das Cruzes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.7 / 83.9	80.1 / 81
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.8 / 80.4	79.6 / 85.2
Est. result	79	80

Est. total158.4

Line O/U156

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1561.86

Under 1561.88

Diff.: 5.35 · Est. total: 161.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 05:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.06 → 2.18▲	Pinn 2.18
2	1.71 → 1.63▼	Pinn 1.63

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	2
03:15 +32’	2.06	1.71
04:40 +6’	1.85▼	1.88▲
05:41 +5’	2.18▲	1.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bauru 2–0–4 Mogi das Cruzes

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Brazil FPB	Mogi das Cruzes	88-71	Bauru
02/04/26 Brazil NBB	Mogi das Cruzes	87-79	Bauru
12/12/25 Brazil NBB	Bauru	62-58	Mogi das Cruzes
06/09/25 Brazil Paulista 1 Div.	Bauru	60-67	Mogi das Cruzes
01/09/25 Brazil FPB	Mogi das Cruzes	79-71	Bauru
08/02/25 Brazil NBB	Mogi das Cruzes	62-80	Bauru

Standings · Brazil NBB

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Franca	2	2	0	180	133
2	Unifacisa	2	2	0	177	135
3	Bauru	2	2	0	165	149
4	Minas	1	1	0	78	66
5	Uniao Corinthians	1	1	0	83	74
6	Paulistano	1	1	0	80	74
7	Flamengo	2	1	1	162	153
8	Cruzeiro	2	1	1	146	144
9	Osasco	2	1	1	163	165
10	Mogi das Cruzes	2	1	1	158	163
11	Brasilia	0	0	0	0	0
12	Pato Basquete	1	0	1	74	80
13	Botafogo	1	0	1	71	81
14	Corinthians	1	0	1	73	84
15	Pinheiros	1	0	1	65	81
16	Caxias Do Sul	2	0	2	127	150
17	Fortaleza BC	1	0	1	69	93
18	Sao Jose	2	0	2	127	173

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bauru

WLLLLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Flamengo Brazil NBB	82-81	W
30/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	62-71	L
26/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	88-75	W
25/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	80-95	L
22/04	Paulistano Brazil NBB	77-80	L
18/04	Brasilia Brazil NBB	65-94	L
16/04	Rio Claro Brazil NBB	63-95	L
07/04	Franca Brazil NBB	87-91	L
02/04	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB	79-87	L
24/03	Pato Basquete Brazil NBB	94-70	W

Mogi das Cruzes

LWWWWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Corinthians Brazil NBB	84-73	W
16/05	Franca Brazil NBB	77-78	L
14/05	Franca Brazil NBB	102-90	W
10/05	Franca Brazil NBB	70-88	L
09/05	Franca Brazil NBB	65-97	L
06/05	Franca Brazil NBB	95-93	W
28/04	Sao Jose Brazil NBB	81-70	W
25/04	Sao Jose Brazil NBB	79-75	W
23/04	Sao Jose Brazil NBB	75-70	W
18/04	Osasco Brazil NBB	73-76	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bauru vs Mogi das Cruzes?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Bauru 46% · Mogi das Cruzes 54%).

How many points are expected in Bauru vs Mogi das Cruzes?

The model estimates 158.4 total points (Bauru 78.5 · Mogi das Cruzes 79.9).