Prediction: Larre Borges vs Trouville

Team pages: Larre Borges · Trouville

Prediction summary
Estimated points
158Total
Larre Borges79.2
Trouville78.8
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
51% 49%
Larre Borges Trouville

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Larre Borges 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWWLWW
Trouville 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWWLWLWLL
Head-to-head
Larre Borges 1–5 Trouville (6 last)
  • Trouville74-79Larre Borges
  • Larre Borges80-97Trouville
  • Larre Borges0-20Trouville
  • Trouville92-65Larre Borges
  • Larre Borges84-90Trouville
  • Trouville93-75Larre Borges
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Larre Borges 1538 · Trouville 1504
Larre BorgesTrouville
Our model67%33%
Market47%53%
Estimated total (ours) 158 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points158Larre Borges 79.2 · Trouville 78.8

Match keys

  • H2H favours Trouville: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Larre BorgesTrouville
Points F|A (Last 10)86 / 79.572.6 / 75
Points F|A (Last 5)89.4 / 79.471.8 / 79.6
Est. result7979
Est. total158
Line O/U158.5
Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Larre Borges 105 Trouville

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/09/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Trouville74-79Larre Borges
05/07/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Larre Borges80-97Trouville
28/03/24
Uruguay Liga
Larre Borges0-20Trouville
12/03/24
Uruguay Liga
Trouville92-65Larre Borges
16/02/24
Uruguay Liga
Larre Borges84-90Trouville
06/12/23
Uruguay Liga
Trouville93-75Larre Borges

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Montevideo 18117 1605151929
2 Larre Borges 1899 1503148127
3 Olivol Mundial 18612 1276137424
4 Marne 18612 1359148224
5 Albatros 18315 1394157721
6 Colon 18216 1310156716

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLarre BorgesTrouville
Tabare 78-63 W 92-79 W
Olivol Mundial 76-90 L 87-78 W
Verdirrojo 73-77 L 69-72 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Trouville (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Larre Borges

LWWLWWWLWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/09 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
79-74 W
02/09 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
78-63 W
27/08 Montevideo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
97-105 L
23/08 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
92-68 W
19/08 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
101-87 W
12/08 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
94-84 W
05/08 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
76-90 L
30/07 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
83-62 W
25/07 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
87-85 W
22/07 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-77 L

Trouville

LWWWLWLWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/09 Larre Borges
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
74-79 L
27/08 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-85 L
21/08 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
83-80 W
18/08 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
54-81 L
14/08 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
75-73 W
11/08 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
69-72 L
08/08 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
92-79 W
01/08 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
38-30 W
28/07 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
87-78 W
25/07 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
81-93 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Larre Borges vs Trouville?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Larre Borges 51% · Trouville 49%).

How many points are expected in Larre Borges vs Trouville?

The model estimates 158 total points (Larre Borges 79.2 · Trouville 78.8).