Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 11/09, 01:15
Prediction: Trouville vs Larre Borges
Team pages: Trouville · Larre Borges
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.2Total
Trouville81.8
Larre Borges76.4
1X2
Trouville
Larre Borges
Recent form · 10 last
Trouville
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Larre Borges
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trouville
5–1
Larre Borges
(6 last)
- Larre Borges75-92Trouville
- Trouville74-79Larre Borges
- Larre Borges80-97Trouville
- Larre Borges0-20Trouville
- Trouville92-65Larre Borges
- Larre Borges84-90Trouville
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trouville 1531 · Larre Borges 1526
| Trouville | Larre Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
158.2 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158.2Trouville 81.8 · Larre Borges 76.4
Match keys
- Trouville is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Trouville: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Trouville | Larre Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73.7 / 73.2 | 86.2 / 81 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.2 / 80 | 84.2 / 80.4 |
| Est. result | 82 | 76 |
Est. total158.2
Line O/U158.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trouville 5–0–1 Larre Borges
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Larre Borges | 75-92 | Trouville |
| 05/09/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Trouville | 74-79 | Larre Borges |
| 05/07/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Larre Borges | 80-97 | Trouville |
| 28/03/24 Uruguay Liga | Larre Borges | 0-20 | Trouville |
| 12/03/24 Uruguay Liga | Trouville | 92-65 | Larre Borges |
| 16/02/24 Uruguay Liga | Larre Borges | 84-90 | Trouville |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1605 | 1519 | 29 |
| 2 | Larre Borges | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1503 | 1481 | 27 |
| 3 | Olivol Mundial | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1276 | 1374 | 24 |
| 4 | Marne | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1359 | 1482 | 24 |
| 5 | Albatros | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1394 | 1577 | 21 |
| 6 | Colon | 18 | 2 | 16 | 1310 | 1567 | 16 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trouville | Larre Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Tabare | 92-79 W | 78-63 W |
| Olivol Mundial | 87-78 W | 76-90 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trouville
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-75 | W |
| 05/09 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-79 | L |
| 27/08 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-85 | L |
| 21/08 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-80 | W |
| 18/08 | Stockolmo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
54-81 | L |
| 14/08 | Olimpia Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-73 | W |
| 11/08 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
69-72 | L |
| 08/08 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-79 | W |
| 01/08 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
38-30 | W |
| 28/07 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-78 | W |
Larre Borges
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
75-92 | L |
| 05/09 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
79-74 | W |
| 02/09 | Tabare Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
78-63 | W |
| 27/08 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
97-105 | L |
| 23/08 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
92-68 | W |
| 19/08 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
101-87 | W |
| 12/08 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
94-84 | W |
| 05/08 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-90 | L |
| 30/07 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
83-62 | W |
| 25/07 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trouville vs Larre Borges?
Our model gives 65% to Trouville.
How many points are expected in Trouville vs Larre Borges?
The model estimates 158.2 total points (Trouville 81.8 · Larre Borges 76.4).