Prediction: Lagomar vs Verdirrojo

Team pages: Lagomar · Verdirrojo

Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.1Total
Lagomar73.7
Verdirrojo75.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
45% 55%
Lagomar Verdirrojo

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Lagomar 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWWWLL
Verdirrojo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLLLW
Head-to-head
Lagomar 3–3 Verdirrojo (6 last)
  • Verdirrojo85-64Lagomar
  • Lagomar73-57Verdirrojo
  • Verdirrojo74-65Lagomar
  • Lagomar106-90Verdirrojo
  • Verdirrojo87-63Lagomar
  • Lagomar103-80Verdirrojo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lagomar 1547 · Verdirrojo 1541
LagomarVerdirrojo
Our model63%37%
Market40%60%
Estimated total (ours) 149.1 points · Bet365 line 148.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points149.1Lagomar 73.7 · Verdirrojo 75.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

LagomarVerdirrojo
Points F|A (Last 10)76 / 72.975.2 / 71.5
Points F|A (Last 5)72.4 / 70.869.6 / 72.4
Est. result7475
Est. total149.1
Line O/U148.5
Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lagomar 303 Verdirrojo

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
04/09/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Verdirrojo85-64Lagomar
18/08/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Lagomar73-57Verdirrojo
15/07/26
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Verdirrojo74-65Lagomar
05/08/25
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Lagomar106-90Verdirrojo
21/06/25
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Verdirrojo87-63Lagomar
10/08/24
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
Lagomar103-80Verdirrojo

Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Championship Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Olimpia 20164 1674146136
2 Trouville 20155 1624146335
3 Verdirrojo 20137 1517145933
4 Stockolmo 19136 1444131432
5 Lagomar 19118 1446144930
6 Sayago 201010 1522150830
7 Tabare 20911 1571153029
8 Urupan de Pando 20911 1533159429

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLagomarVerdirrojo
Trouville 80-83 L 72-69 W
Tabare 67-61 W 78-72 W
Sayago 78-68 W 53-80 L
Urupan de Pando 87-80 W 76-77 L
Olimpia 69-84 L 84-75 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lagomar

WWWLWWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
04/09 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
64-85 L
21/08 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
80-83 L
18/08 Verdirrojo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
73-57 W
15/08 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
67-61 W
12/08 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
78-68 W
08/08 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
87-80 W
01/08 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
69-84 L
29/07 Marne
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
82-70 W
26/07 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
71-61 W
24/07 Colon
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
89-80 W

Verdirrojo

WWWWWWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
04/09 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
85-64 W
27/08 Sayago
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
53-80 L
22/08 Urupan de Pando
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
76-77 L
18/08 Lagomar
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
57-73 L
15/08 Stockolmo
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
77-68 W
11/08 Trouville
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
72-69 W
08/08 Olimpia
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
84-75 W
01/08 Tabare
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
78-72 W
28/07 Albatros
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
94-71 W
25/07 Olivol Mundial
Uruguay Liga de Ascenso
76-66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lagomar vs Verdirrojo?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Lagomar 45% · Verdirrojo 55%).

How many points are expected in Lagomar vs Verdirrojo?

The model estimates 149.1 total points (Lagomar 73.7 · Verdirrojo 75.4).