Basketball · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · 02/09, 01:30
Prediction: Marne vs Albatros
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.3Total
Marne83.1
Albatros79.2
1X2
Marne
Albatros
Recent form · 10 last
Marne
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Albatros
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marne
4–2
Albatros
(6 last)
- Marne76-68Albatros
- Albatros90-78Marne
- Albatros66-68Marne
- Marne73-62Albatros
- Marne67-69Albatros
- Marne81-80Albatros
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marne 1465 · Albatros 1427
| Marne | Albatros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
162.3 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · -1.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points162.3Marne 83.1 · Albatros 79.2
Match keys
- H2H favours Marne: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Marne | Albatros | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.4 / 83.1 | 78.2 / 86.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.2 / 82.8 | 77.2 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 83 | 79 |
Est. total162.3
Line O/U163.5
Diff.1.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marne 4–0–2 Albatros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Marne | 76-68 | Albatros |
| 11/06/26 Uruguay Liga de Ascenso | Albatros | 90-78 | Marne |
| 13/09/24 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Albatros | 66-68 | Marne |
| 09/09/24 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Marne | 73-62 | Albatros |
| 25/07/24 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Marne | 67-69 | Albatros |
| 01/12/23 Uruguay Tercera de Ascenso | Marne | 81-80 | Albatros |
Standings · Uruguay Liga de Ascenso · Liga de Ascenso 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1605 | 1519 | 29 |
| 2 | Larre Borges | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1503 | 1481 | 27 |
| 3 | Olivol Mundial | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1276 | 1374 | 24 |
| 4 | Marne | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1359 | 1482 | 24 |
| 5 | Albatros | 18 | 3 | 15 | 1394 | 1577 | 21 |
| 6 | Colon | 18 | 2 | 16 | 1310 | 1567 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marne | Albatros |
|---|---|---|
| Colon | 99-90 W | 73-74 L |
| Olivol Mundial | 67-80 L | 90-71 W |
| Larre Borges | 84-94 L | 68-92 L |
| Montevideo | 90-82 W | 87-96 L |
| Lagomar | 70-82 L | 85-94 L |
| Urupan de Pando | 74-83 L | 85-96 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Marne (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marne
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
99-90 | W |
| 23/08 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
67-80 | L |
| 19/08 | Albatros Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
76-68 | W |
| 12/08 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
84-94 | L |
| 06/08 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-82 | W |
| 29/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-82 | L |
| 26/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
67-102 | L |
| 21/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-83 | L |
| 18/07 | Sayago Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-77 | L |
| 15/07 | Trouville Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
74-73 | W |
Albatros
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Olivol Mundial Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
90-71 | W |
| 23/08 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-92 | L |
| 19/08 | Marne Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
68-76 | L |
| 14/08 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
87-96 | L |
| 11/08 | Colon Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
73-74 | L |
| 28/07 | Verdirrojo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
71-94 | L |
| 25/07 | Larre Borges Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-87 | L |
| 21/07 | Lagomar Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-94 | L |
| 17/07 | Montevideo Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
70-85 | L |
| 14/07 | Urupan de Pando Uruguay Liga de Ascenso |
85-96 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marne vs Albatros?
Our model gives 61% to Marne.
How many points are expected in Marne vs Albatros?
The model estimates 162.3 total points (Marne 83.1 · Albatros 79.2).