Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 07/11, 15:50

Prediction: Lietkabelis vs Rytas Vilnius

Team pages: Lietkabelis · Rytas Vilnius

Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.3Total
Lietkabelis82.5
Rytas Vilnius86.8
1X2
38% 62%
Lietkabelis Rytas Vilnius
Recent form · 10 last
Lietkabelis 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLLWLW
Rytas Vilnius 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Lietkabelis 3–3 Rytas Vilnius (6 last)
  • Lietkabelis96-71Rytas Vilnius
  • Rytas Vilnius96-81Lietkabelis
  • Rytas Vilnius106-89Lietkabelis
  • Rytas Vilnius73-84Lietkabelis
  • Lietkabelis89-84Rytas Vilnius
  • Rytas Vilnius94-70Lietkabelis
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lietkabelis 1480 · Rytas Vilnius 1538
LietkabelisRytas Vilnius
Our model55%45%
Market34%66%
Estimated total (ours) 169.3 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points169.3Lietkabelis 82.5 · Rytas Vilnius 86.8

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rytas Vilnius (rating 1480 vs 1538).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

LietkabelisRytas Vilnius
Points F|A (Last 10)77.6 / 80.691.3 / 89.4
Points F|A (Last 5)77 / 80.489.6 / 83.2
Est. result8387
Est. total169.3
Line O/U169.5
Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lietkabelis 3–0–3 Rytas Vilnius

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Lithuania LKL
Lietkabelis96-71Rytas Vilnius
22/03/26
Lithuania LKL
Rytas Vilnius96-81Lietkabelis
21/02/26
Lithuania Cup
Rytas Vilnius106-89Lietkabelis
13/12/25
Lithuania LKL
Rytas Vilnius73-84Lietkabelis
11/10/25
Lithuania LKL
Lietkabelis89-84Rytas Vilnius
08/06/25
Lithuania LKL
Rytas Vilnius94-70Lietkabelis

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Zalgiris 880 7456000
2 Rytas Vilnius 752 6365980
3 Gargzdu Gargzdai SC 853 7107060
4 Neptunas 844 6856820
5 Lietkabelis 844 6316490
6 Jonava 835 6366470
7 Juventus 835 6826980
8 Siauliai 835 6666980
9 Taurage 835 6517020
10 Nevezis 716 5155770

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLietkabelisRytas Vilnius
Neptunas 99-79 W 86-77 W
Gargzdu Gargzdai SC 80-83 L 102-105 L
Jonava 65-71 L 91-87 W
Zalgiris 68-97 L 89-94 L
Taurage 85-79 W 79-71 W
Siauliai 77-86 L 95-88 W
Juventus 84-82 W 94-76 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 4 L 5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rytas Vilnius (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lietkabelis

LLWLWLLWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
31/10 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
99-79 W
24/10 Gargzdu Gargzdai SC
Lithuania LKL
80-83 L
17/10 Nevezis
Lithuania LKL
73-72 W
10/10 Jonava
Lithuania LKL
65-71 L
04/10 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
68-97 L
26/09 Taurage
Lithuania LKL
85-79 W
23/09 Siauliai
Lithuania LKL
77-86 L
19/09 Juventus
Lithuania LKL
84-82 W
13/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
82-91 L
11/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
63-66 L

Rytas Vilnius

LLLLWWWWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/11 Jonava
Lithuania LKL
91-87 W
02/11 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
89-94 L
25/10 Juventus
Lithuania LKL
94-76 W
21/10 Taurage
Lithuania LKL
79-71 W
17/10 Siauliai
Lithuania LKL
95-88 W
10/10 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
86-77 W
03/10 Gargzdu Gargzdai SC
Lithuania LKL
102-105 L
23/05 Juventus
Lithuania LKL
95-101 L
21/05 Juventus
Lithuania LKL
84-92 L
16/05 Gargzdu Gargzdai SC
Lithuania LKL
98-103 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lietkabelis vs Rytas Vilnius?

Our model gives 62% to Rytas Vilnius.

How many points are expected in Lietkabelis vs Rytas Vilnius?

The model estimates 169.3 total points (Lietkabelis 82.5 · Rytas Vilnius 86.8).