Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 14/11, 18:10
Prediction: Nevezis vs Juventus
Team pages: Nevezis · Juventus
Prediction summary
Estimated points
172.5Total
Nevezis84.5
Juventus88
1X2
Nevezis
Juventus
Recent form · 10 last
Nevezis
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Juventus
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nevezis
3–3
Juventus
(6 last)
- Juventus94-77Nevezis
- Nevezis95-98Juventus
- Juventus76-92Nevezis
- Juventus100-102Nevezis
- Nevezis79-96Juventus
- Nevezis88-84Juventus
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nevezis 1430 · Juventus 1465
| Nevezis | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
172.5 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points172.5Nevezis 84.5 · Juventus 88
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nevezis | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.9 / 87.5 | 84.4 / 88.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77.4 / 78.4 | 82.8 / 91 |
| Est. result | 85 | 88 |
Est. total172.5
Line O/U170.5
Diff.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nevezis 3–0–3 Juventus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/26 Lithuania LKL | Juventus | 94-77 | Nevezis |
| 09/05/26 Lithuania LKL | Nevezis | 95-98 | Juventus |
| 14/03/26 Lithuania LKL | Juventus | 76-92 | Nevezis |
| 03/12/25 Lithuania Cup | Juventus | 100-102 | Nevezis |
| 23/11/25 Lithuania LKL | Nevezis | 79-96 | Juventus |
| 29/10/25 Lithuania Cup | Nevezis | 88-84 | Juventus |
Standings · Lithuania LKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris | 9 | 9 | 0 | 839 | 685 | 0 |
| 2 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 801 | 776 | 0 |
| 3 | Rytas Vilnius | 8 | 5 | 3 | 717 | 683 | 0 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 9 | 5 | 4 | 767 | 762 | 0 |
| 5 | Lietkabelis | 9 | 5 | 4 | 716 | 730 | 0 |
| 6 | Siauliai | 9 | 4 | 5 | 749 | 774 | 0 |
| 7 | Juventus | 9 | 3 | 6 | 767 | 792 | 0 |
| 8 | Jonava | 9 | 3 | 6 | 706 | 738 | 0 |
| 9 | Taurage | 9 | 3 | 6 | 731 | 784 | 0 |
| 10 | Nevezis | 8 | 1 | 7 | 591 | 660 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nevezis | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Siauliai | 76-83 L | 71-83 L |
| Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 87-76 W | 100-90 W |
| Taurage | 76-80 L | 93-77 W |
| Lietkabelis | 72-73 L | 82-84 L |
| Zalgiris | 76-80 L | 85-94 L |
| Neptunas | 62-89 L | 84-99 L |
| Jonava | 65-85 L | 82-94 L |
| Rytas Vilnius | 88-117 L | 76-94 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nevezis
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
76-83 | L |
| 02/11 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
87-76 | W |
| 24/10 | Taurage Lithuania LKL |
76-80 | L |
| 17/10 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
72-73 | L |
| 11/10 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
76-80 | L |
| 03/10 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
62-89 | L |
| 27/09 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
77-94 | L |
| 22/09 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
65-85 | L |
| 17/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
80-98 | L |
| 13/05 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
88-117 | L |
Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
85-94 | L |
| 31/10 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
82-94 | L |
| 25/10 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
76-94 | L |
| 18/10 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
100-90 | W |
| 11/10 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
71-83 | L |
| 04/10 | Taurage Lithuania LKL |
93-77 | W |
| 27/09 | Nevezis Lithuania LKL |
94-77 | W |
| 23/09 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
84-99 | L |
| 19/09 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
82-84 | L |
| 12/06 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
77-95 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nevezis vs Juventus?
Our model gives 60% to Juventus.
How many points are expected in Nevezis vs Juventus?
The model estimates 172.5 total points (Nevezis 84.5 · Juventus 88).