Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 08/11, 15:50

Prediction: Juventus vs Zalgiris

Team pages: Juventus · Zalgiris

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.5Total

Juventus83.5

Zalgiris90

1X2

32% 68%

Juventus Zalgiris

Recent form · 10 last

Juventus 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLWLL

Zalgiris 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Juventus 0–6 Zalgiris (6 last)

Zalgiris82-77Juventus
Zalgiris95-77Juventus
Juventus69-100Zalgiris
Zalgiris107-75Juventus
Zalgiris108-93Juventus
Juventus83-94Zalgiris

Model analysis

Estimated points173.5Juventus 83.5 · Zalgiris 90

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zalgiris (rating 1452 vs 1672).
Zalgiris is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Zalgiris: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Juventus	Zalgiris
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.8 / 89.3	94 / 74.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	84.4 / 87.6	90.6 / 74.4
Est. result	84	90

Est. total173.5

Line O/U169.5

Diff.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.88

Under 169.51.86

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 170.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	7.42 → 7.42	Pinn 7.42
2	1.05 → 1.05	Pinn 1.05

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
16:09 +47’	7.42	1.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus 0–0–6 Zalgiris

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/09/26 Club Friendlies	Zalgiris	82-77	Juventus
12/06/26 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	95-77	Juventus
09/06/26 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	69-100	Zalgiris
07/06/26 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	107-75	Juventus
15/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Zalgiris	108-93	Juventus
29/03/26 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	83-94	Zalgiris

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Zalgiris	8	8	0	745	600
2	Rytas Vilnius	7	5	2	636	598
3	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	8	5	3	710	706
4	Neptunas	8	4	4	685	682
5	Lietkabelis	8	4	4	631	649
6	Jonava	8	3	5	636	647
7	Juventus	8	3	5	682	698
8	Siauliai	8	3	5	666	698
9	Taurage	8	3	5	651	702
10	Nevezis	7	1	6	515	577

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventus	Zalgiris
Jonava	82-94 L	86-63 W
Rytas Vilnius	76-94 L	94-89 W
Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	100-90 W	98-77 W
Siauliai	71-83 L	101-82 W
Taurage	93-77 W	96-76 W
Nevezis	94-77 W	80-76 W
Neptunas	84-99 L	93-69 W
Lietkabelis	82-84 L	97-68 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Zalgiris (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus

LLLLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Jonava Lithuania LKL	82-94	L
25/10	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	76-94	L
18/10	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	100-90	W
11/10	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	71-83	L
04/10	Taurage Lithuania LKL	93-77	W
27/09	Nevezis Lithuania LKL	94-77	W
23/09	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	84-99	L
19/09	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	82-84	L
12/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	77-95	L
09/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	69-100	L

Zalgiris

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/11	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	94-89	W
25/10	Jonava Lithuania LKL	86-63	W
18/10	Taurage Lithuania LKL	96-76	W
11/10	Nevezis Lithuania LKL	80-76	W
04/10	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	97-68	W
27/09	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	101-82	W
20/09	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	93-69	W
17/09	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	98-77	W
12/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	95-77	W
09/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	100-69	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus vs Zalgiris?

Our model gives 68% to Zalgiris.

How many points are expected in Juventus vs Zalgiris?

The model estimates 173.5 total points (Juventus 83.5 · Zalgiris 90).