Basketball · Rwanda National League Women · 10/08, 16:30

Prediction: APR (W) vs REG (W)

Team pages: APR (W) · REG (W)

Prediction summary
Estimated points
145.4Total
APR (W)71.8
REG (W)73.6
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
45% 55%
APR (W) REG (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
APR (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLLWWL
REG (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
APR (W) 2–4 REG (W) (6 last)
  • REG (W)77-71APR (W)
  • APR (W)68-83REG (W)
  • REG (W)66-60APR (W)
  • APR (W)75-62REG (W)
  • APR (W)82-71REG (W)
  • APR (W)52-79REG (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · APR (W) 1557 · REG (W) 1662
APR (W)REG (W)
Our model48%52%
Market44%56%
Estimated total (ours) 145.4 points · Bet365 line 138.5 · +6.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points145.4APR (W) 71.8 · REG (W) 73.6

Match keys

  • H2H favours REG (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

APR (W)REG (W)
Points F|A (Last 10)79.1 / 58.383 / 54.4
Points F|A (Last 5)75.6 / 66.489.4 / 63
Est. result7274
Est. total145.4
Line O/U138.5
Diff.6.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · APR (W) 204 REG (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/08/26
Rwanda National League Women
REG (W)77-71APR (W)
26/06/26
Rwanda National League Women
APR (W)68-83REG (W)
25/02/26
Rwanda National League Women
REG (W)66-60APR (W)
06/02/26
Basketball Matches Women
APR (W)75-62REG (W)
15/11/25
Basketball Africa League Qual.Women
APR (W)82-71REG (W)
10/09/25
Basketball Matches Women
APR (W)52-79REG (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAPR (W)REG (W)
IPRC Huye (W) 83-34 W 91-48 W
GS Gahini (W) 93-46 W 80-37 W
The Hoops BBC (W) 63-92 L 84-53 W
Kepler (W) 67-48 W 62-55 W
GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) 84-48 W 82-59 W
Azomco BBC (W) 75-52 W 121-64 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: APR (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

APR (W)

WWWWWLLWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
07/08 REG (W)
Rwanda National League Women
71-77 L
04/07 IPRC Huye (W)
Rwanda National League Women
83-34 W
28/06 GS Gahini (W)
Rwanda National League Women
93-46 W
26/06 REG (W)
Rwanda National League Women
68-83 L
14/06 The Hoops BBC (W)
Rwanda National League Women
63-92 L
12/06 Kepler (W)
Rwanda National League Women
67-48 W
25/04 GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W)
Rwanda National League Women
84-48 W
05/04 Azomco BBC (W)
Rwanda National League Women
75-52 W
21/03 GS Gahini (W)
Rwanda National League Women
92-44 W
28/02 IPRC Huye (W)
Rwanda National League Women
95-59 W

REG (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
07/08 APR (W)
Rwanda National League Women
77-71 W
28/06 The Hoops BBC (W)
Rwanda National League Women
84-53 W
26/06 APR (W)
Rwanda National League Women
83-68 W
20/06 GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W)
Rwanda National League Women
82-59 W
14/06 Azomco BBC (W)
Rwanda National League Women
121-64 W
06/06 Kepler (W)
Rwanda National League Women
62-55 W
09/05 The Hoops BBC (W)
Rwanda National League Women
78-38 W
25/04 IPRC Huye (W)
Rwanda National League Women
91-48 W
04/04 GS Gahini (W)
Rwanda National League Women
80-37 W
15/03 Kepler (W)
Rwanda National League Women
72-51 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in APR (W) vs REG (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (APR (W) 45% · REG (W) 55%).

How many points are expected in APR (W) vs REG (W)?

The model estimates 145.4 total points (APR (W) 71.8 · REG (W) 73.6).