Basketball · Rwanda National League Women · 14/08, 16:30
Prediction: APR (W) vs REG (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
147.7Total
APR (W)71.2
REG (W)76.6
1X2
APR (W)
REG (W)
Recent form · 10 last
APR (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
REG (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
APR (W)
2–4
REG (W)
(6 last)
- REG (W)84-73APR (W)
- APR (W)86-85REG (W)
- REG (W)77-71APR (W)
- APR (W)68-83REG (W)
- REG (W)66-60APR (W)
- APR (W)75-62REG (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · APR (W) 1538 · REG (W) 1635
| APR (W) | REG (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
Estimated total (ours)
147.7 points · Bet365 line 142.5 · +5.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points147.7APR (W) 71.2 · REG (W) 76.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours REG (W) (rating 1538 vs 1635).
- REG (W) is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours REG (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| APR (W) | REG (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.3 / 64.9 | 84.7 / 61.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.2 / 65.2 | 82.6 / 70.2 |
| Est. result | 71 | 77 |
Est. total147.7
Line O/U142.5
Diff.5.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · APR (W) 2–0–4 REG (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 Rwanda National League Women | REG (W) | 84-73 | APR (W) |
| 10/08/26 Rwanda National League Women | APR (W) | 86-85 | REG (W) |
| 07/08/26 Rwanda National League Women | REG (W) | 77-71 | APR (W) |
| 26/06/26 Rwanda National League Women | APR (W) | 68-83 | REG (W) |
| 25/02/26 Rwanda National League Women | REG (W) | 66-60 | APR (W) |
| 06/02/26 Basketball Matches Women | APR (W) | 75-62 | REG (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | APR (W) | REG (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IPRC Huye (W) | 83-34 W | 91-48 W |
| The Hoops BBC (W) | 63-92 L | 84-53 W |
| Kepler (W) | 67-48 W | 62-55 W |
| GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) | 84-48 W | 82-59 W |
| Azomco BBC (W) | 75-52 W | 121-64 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: APR (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
APR (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | REG (W) Rwanda National League Women |
73-84 | L |
| 10/08 | REG (W) Rwanda National League Women |
86-85 | W |
| 07/08 | REG (W) Rwanda National League Women |
71-77 | L |
| 04/07 | IPRC Huye (W) Rwanda National League Women |
83-34 | W |
| 28/06 | GS Gahini (W) Rwanda National League Women |
93-46 | W |
| 26/06 | REG (W) Rwanda National League Women |
68-83 | L |
| 14/06 | The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
63-92 | L |
| 12/06 | Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women |
67-48 | W |
| 25/04 | GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) Rwanda National League Women |
84-48 | W |
| 05/04 | Azomco BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
75-52 | W |
REG (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | APR (W) Rwanda National League Women |
84-73 | W |
| 10/08 | APR (W) Rwanda National League Women |
85-86 | L |
| 07/08 | APR (W) Rwanda National League Women |
77-71 | W |
| 28/06 | The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
84-53 | W |
| 26/06 | APR (W) Rwanda National League Women |
83-68 | W |
| 20/06 | GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) Rwanda National League Women |
82-59 | W |
| 14/06 | Azomco BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
121-64 | W |
| 06/06 | Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women |
62-55 | W |
| 09/05 | The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
78-38 | W |
| 25/04 | IPRC Huye (W) Rwanda National League Women |
91-48 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in APR (W) vs REG (W)?
Our model gives 65% to REG (W).
How many points are expected in APR (W) vs REG (W)?
The model estimates 147.7 total points (APR (W) 71.2 · REG (W) 76.6).