Basketball · Rwanda National League Women · 14/08, 14:00

Prediction: The Hoops BBC (W) vs Kepler (W)

Team pages: The Hoops BBC (W) · Kepler (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

137.2Total

The Hoops BBC (W)67.4

Kepler (W)69.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

The Hoops BBC (W) Kepler (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

The Hoops BBC (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Kepler (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

The Hoops BBC (W) 1–5 Kepler (W) (6 last)

Kepler (W)47-34The Hoops BBC (W)
The Hoops BBC (W)40-45Kepler (W)
Kepler (W)55-65The Hoops BBC (W)
Kepler (W)65-61The Hoops BBC (W)
The Hoops BBC (W)62-91Kepler (W)
Kepler (W)85-27The Hoops BBC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · The Hoops BBC (W) 1491 · Kepler (W) 1556

	The Hoops BBC (W)	Kepler (W)
Our model	54%	46%
Market	40%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 137.2 points · Bet365 line 116.5 · +20.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points137.2The Hoops BBC (W) 67.4 · Kepler (W) 69.8

Match keys

H2H favours Kepler (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	The Hoops BBC (W)	Kepler (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	63.1 / 61.2	62.5 / 52.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	57.2 / 56.2	58.2 / 51
Est. result	67	70

Est. total137.2

Line O/U116.5

Diff.20.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 116.51.83

Under 116.51.83

Diff.: 3.1 · Est. total: 119.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30
2	1.48 → 1.55▲	Pinn 1.63 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	2
12:42 +3’	2.55	1.48
15:43 +2’	2.20▼	1.61▲
17:41 +4’	2.30▲	1.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
12:42 +3’	1.83	1.76
13:41 +4’	1.85▲	1.76▼
16:44 +1’	2.00▲	1.63▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · The Hoops BBC (W) 1–0–5 Kepler (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/08/26 Rwanda National League Women	Kepler (W)	47-34	The Hoops BBC (W)
10/08/26 Rwanda National League Women	The Hoops BBC (W)	40-45	Kepler (W)
07/08/26 Rwanda National League Women	Kepler (W)	55-65	The Hoops BBC (W)
04/07/26 Rwanda National League Women	Kepler (W)	65-61	The Hoops BBC (W)
28/03/26 Rwanda National League Women	The Hoops BBC (W)	62-91	Kepler (W)
25/01/25 Rwanda National League Women	Kepler (W)	85-27	The Hoops BBC (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	The Hoops BBC (W)	Kepler (W)
Azomco BBC (W)	86-69 W	71-54 W
REG (W)	53-84 L	55-62 L
APR (W)	92-63 W	48-67 L
GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W)	68-45 W	79-55 W
GS Gahini (W)	94-61 W	90-30 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kepler (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

The Hoops BBC (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/08	Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women	34-47	L
10/08	Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women	40-45	L
07/08	Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women	65-55	W
08/07	Azomco BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	86-69	W
04/07	Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women	61-65	L
28/06	REG (W) Rwanda National League Women	53-84	L
14/06	APR (W) Rwanda National League Women	92-63	W
06/06	GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) Rwanda National League Women	68-45	W
09/05	REG (W) Rwanda National League Women	38-78	L
25/04	GS Gahini (W) Rwanda National League Women	94-61	W

Kepler (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/08	The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	47-34	W
10/08	The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	45-40	W
07/08	The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	55-65	L
04/07	The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	65-61	W
28/06	GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) Rwanda National League Women	79-55	W
12/06	APR (W) Rwanda National League Women	48-67	L
06/06	REG (W) Rwanda National League Women	55-62	L
13/05	Azomco BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	71-54	W
02/05	GS Gahini (W) Rwanda National League Women	90-30	W
18/04	IPRC Huye (W) Rwanda National League Women	70-56	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in The Hoops BBC (W) vs Kepler (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (The Hoops BBC (W) 43% · Kepler (W) 57%).

How many points are expected in The Hoops BBC (W) vs Kepler (W)?

The model estimates 137.2 total points (The Hoops BBC (W) 67.4 · Kepler (W) 69.8).