Basketball · Rwanda National League Women · 12/08, 14:00
Prediction: REG (W) vs APR (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
146.6Total
REG (W)76.8
APR (W)69.8
1X2
REG (W)
APR (W)
Recent form · 10 last
REG (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
APR (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
REG (W)
3–3
APR (W)
(6 last)
- APR (W)86-85REG (W)
- REG (W)77-71APR (W)
- APR (W)68-83REG (W)
- REG (W)66-60APR (W)
- APR (W)75-62REG (W)
- APR (W)82-71REG (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · REG (W) 1644 · APR (W) 1554
| REG (W) | APR (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
146.6 points · Bet365 line 137.5 · +9.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points146.6REG (W) 76.8 · APR (W) 69.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours REG (W) (rating 1644 vs 1554).
- REG (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| REG (W) | APR (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.3 / 57.9 | 78.2 / 60.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.2 / 67.4 | 80.2 / 65 |
| Est. result | 77 | 70 |
Est. total146.6
Line O/U137.5
Diff.9.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · REG (W) 3–0–3 APR (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 Rwanda National League Women | APR (W) | 86-85 | REG (W) |
| 07/08/26 Rwanda National League Women | REG (W) | 77-71 | APR (W) |
| 26/06/26 Rwanda National League Women | APR (W) | 68-83 | REG (W) |
| 25/02/26 Rwanda National League Women | REG (W) | 66-60 | APR (W) |
| 06/02/26 Basketball Matches Women | APR (W) | 75-62 | REG (W) |
| 15/11/25 Basketball Africa League Qual.Women | APR (W) | 82-71 | REG (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | REG (W) | APR (W) |
|---|---|---|
| The Hoops BBC (W) | 84-53 W | 63-92 L |
| GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) | 82-59 W | 84-48 W |
| Azomco BBC (W) | 121-64 W | 75-52 W |
| Kepler (W) | 62-55 W | 67-48 W |
| IPRC Huye (W) | 91-48 W | 83-34 W |
| GS Gahini (W) | 80-37 W | 93-46 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: APR (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
REG (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | APR (W) Rwanda National League Women |
85-86 | L |
| 07/08 | APR (W) Rwanda National League Women |
77-71 | W |
| 28/06 | The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
84-53 | W |
| 26/06 | APR (W) Rwanda National League Women |
83-68 | W |
| 20/06 | GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) Rwanda National League Women |
82-59 | W |
| 14/06 | Azomco BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
121-64 | W |
| 06/06 | Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women |
62-55 | W |
| 09/05 | The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
78-38 | W |
| 25/04 | IPRC Huye (W) Rwanda National League Women |
91-48 | W |
| 04/04 | GS Gahini (W) Rwanda National League Women |
80-37 | W |
APR (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | REG (W) Rwanda National League Women |
86-85 | W |
| 07/08 | REG (W) Rwanda National League Women |
71-77 | L |
| 04/07 | IPRC Huye (W) Rwanda National League Women |
83-34 | W |
| 28/06 | GS Gahini (W) Rwanda National League Women |
93-46 | W |
| 26/06 | REG (W) Rwanda National League Women |
68-83 | L |
| 14/06 | The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
63-92 | L |
| 12/06 | Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women |
67-48 | W |
| 25/04 | GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) Rwanda National League Women |
84-48 | W |
| 05/04 | Azomco BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women |
75-52 | W |
| 21/03 | GS Gahini (W) Rwanda National League Women |
92-44 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in REG (W) vs APR (W)?
Our model gives 69% to REG (W).
How many points are expected in REG (W) vs APR (W)?
The model estimates 146.6 total points (REG (W) 76.8 · APR (W) 69.8).