Basketball · Rwanda National League Women · 10/08, 14:00

Prediction: The Hoops BBC (W) vs Kepler (W)

Team pages: The Hoops BBC (W) · Kepler (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

142.3Total

The Hoops BBC (W)70.8

Kepler (W)71.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

The Hoops BBC (W) Kepler (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

The Hoops BBC (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLLWW

Kepler (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWWL

Head-to-head

The Hoops BBC (W) 2–4 Kepler (W) (6 last)

Kepler (W)55-65The Hoops BBC (W)
Kepler (W)65-61The Hoops BBC (W)
The Hoops BBC (W)62-91Kepler (W)
Kepler (W)85-27The Hoops BBC (W)
The Hoops BBC (W)79-77Kepler (W)
Kepler (W)56-52The Hoops BBC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · The Hoops BBC (W) 1528 · Kepler (W) 1527

	The Hoops BBC (W)	Kepler (W)
Our model	63%	37%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 142.3 points · Bet365 line 128.5 · +13.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points142.3The Hoops BBC (W) 70.8 · Kepler (W) 71.5

Match keys

H2H favours Kepler (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	The Hoops BBC (W)	Kepler (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	70.8 / 68.8	67.5 / 58.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	71.4 / 67.2	60.4 / 62
Est. result	71	72

Est. total142.3

Line O/U128.5

Diff.13.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 128.51.83

Under 128.51.83

Diff.: 4.25 · Est. total: 132.75

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 02:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.12▼	Bet365 2.12
2	1.48 → 1.65▲	Pinn 1.82 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	2
16:48 +2’	2.55	1.48
19:37 +10’	2.15▼	1.63▲
00:43 +2’	1.95▼	1.74▲
02:42 +2’	2.12▲	1.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:07 +42’	1.78	1.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · The Hoops BBC (W) 2–0–4 Kepler (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Rwanda National League Women	Kepler (W)	55-65	The Hoops BBC (W)
04/07/26 Rwanda National League Women	Kepler (W)	65-61	The Hoops BBC (W)
28/03/26 Rwanda National League Women	The Hoops BBC (W)	62-91	Kepler (W)
25/01/25 Rwanda National League Women	Kepler (W)	85-27	The Hoops BBC (W)
04/08/24 Rwanda National League Women	The Hoops BBC (W)	79-77	Kepler (W)
02/03/24 Rwanda National League Women	Kepler (W)	56-52	The Hoops BBC (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	The Hoops BBC (W)	Kepler (W)
Azomco BBC (W)	86-69 W	71-54 W
REG (W)	53-84 L	55-62 L
APR (W)	92-63 W	48-67 L
GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W)	68-45 W	79-55 W
GS Gahini (W)	94-61 W	90-30 W
IPRC Huye (W)	89-77 W	70-56 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kepler (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

The Hoops BBC (W)

LWWLWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/08	Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women	65-55	W
08/07	Azomco BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	86-69	W
04/07	Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women	61-65	L
28/06	REG (W) Rwanda National League Women	53-84	L
14/06	APR (W) Rwanda National League Women	92-63	W
06/06	GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) Rwanda National League Women	68-45	W
09/05	REG (W) Rwanda National League Women	38-78	L
25/04	GS Gahini (W) Rwanda National League Women	94-61	W
04/04	IPRC Huye (W) Rwanda National League Women	89-77	W
28/03	Kepler (W) Rwanda National League Women	62-91	L

Kepler (W)

LWWWWLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/08	The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	55-65	L
04/07	The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	65-61	W
28/06	GS Marie Reine Rwaza (W) Rwanda National League Women	79-55	W
12/06	APR (W) Rwanda National League Women	48-67	L
06/06	REG (W) Rwanda National League Women	55-62	L
13/05	Azomco BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	71-54	W
02/05	GS Gahini (W) Rwanda National League Women	90-30	W
18/04	IPRC Huye (W) Rwanda National League Women	70-56	W
28/03	The Hoops BBC (W) Rwanda National League Women	91-62	W
15/03	REG (W) Rwanda National League Women	51-72	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in The Hoops BBC (W) vs Kepler (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (The Hoops BBC (W) 48% · Kepler (W) 52%).

How many points are expected in The Hoops BBC (W) vs Kepler (W)?

The model estimates 142.3 total points (The Hoops BBC (W) 70.8 · Kepler (W) 71.5).