Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 04/10, 14:30

Prediction: Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket

Team pages: Fenerbahce · Korfez Basket

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.1Total

Fenerbahce91

Korfez Basket78.1

1X2

82% 18%

Fenerbahce Korfez Basket

Recent form · 10 last

Fenerbahce 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWWWL

Korfez Basket 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Fenerbahce 5–1 Korfez Basket (6 last)

Korfez Basket82-70Fenerbahce
Korfez Basket78-82Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce93-79Korfez Basket
Fenerbahce77-73Korfez Basket
Korfez Basket82-90Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce122-90Korfez Basket

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fenerbahce 1615 · Korfez Basket 1482

	Fenerbahce	Korfez Basket
Our model	78%	22%
Market	83%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 169.1 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points169.1Fenerbahce 91 · Korfez Basket 78.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fenerbahce (rating 1615 vs 1482).
Fenerbahce is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Fenerbahce: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fenerbahce	Korfez Basket
Points F\|A (Last 10)	83.9 / 79.9	88.6 / 90.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83 / 80	85.4 / 84.6
Est. result	91	78

Est. total169.1

Line O/U168.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.13

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.83

2 (+11.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 3.05 · Est. total: 171.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
11:52 +22’	1.13	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenerbahce 5–0–1 Korfez Basket

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Club Friendlies	Korfez Basket	82-70	Fenerbahce
24/04/26 Turkiye BSL	Korfez Basket	78-82	Fenerbahce
27/12/25 Turkiye BSL	Fenerbahce	93-79	Korfez Basket
15/03/25 Turkiye BSL	Fenerbahce	77-73	Korfez Basket
10/11/24 Turkiye BSL	Korfez Basket	82-90	Fenerbahce
20/09/24 Club Friendlies	Fenerbahce	122-90	Korfez Basket

Standings · Turkiye BSL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Galatasaray	2	1	1	173	157	3
2	Pinar Karsiyaka	2	1	1	150	144	3
3	Bahcesehir Koleji	1	1	0	98	83	2
4	Anadolu Efes	1	1	0	95	81	2
5	Korfez Basket	1	1	0	88	79	2
6	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	82	76	2
7	Petkim Spor	1	1	0	85	81	2
8	Tofas	1	1	0	90	89	2
9	Turk Telekom	1	1	0	73	72	2
10	Bordo Basketbol	1	0	1	89	90	1
11	Merkezefendi Denizli	1	0	1	81	85	1
12	Bursaspor	1	0	1	76	82	1
13	Esenler Erokspor	1	0	1	79	88	1
14	Besiktas	1	0	1	81	95	1
15	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	83	98	1
16	Cayirova	1	0	1	79	102	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fenerbahce	Korfez Basket
Bahcesehir Koleji	83-98 L	105-112 L
Besiktas	77-75 W	70-102 L
Esenler Erokspor	96-73 W	88-79 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Fenerbahce (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fenerbahce

WWWLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	83-98	L
19/06	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	77-75	W
17/06	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	82-71	W
15/06	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	93-68	W
13/06	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	80-88	L
07/06	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	102-93	W
05/06	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	93-102	L
03/06	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	73-72	W
01/06	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	60-59	W
29/05	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	96-73	W

Korfez Basket

LWLLWLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/09	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	88-79	W
10/05	Turk Telekom Turkiye BSL	83-75	W
02/05	Galatasaray Turkiye BSL	91-87	W
24/04	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	78-82	L
19/04	Petkim Spor Turkiye BSL	87-100	L
12/04	Tofas Turkiye BSL	100-96	W
06/04	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	105-112	L
27/03	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	70-102	L
22/03	Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL	92-78	W
14/03	Trabzonspor Turkiye BSL	92-96	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket?

Our model gives 82% to Fenerbahce.

How many points are expected in Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket?

The model estimates 169.1 total points (Fenerbahce 91 · Korfez Basket 78.1).