Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 19/09, 18:30

Prediction: Braunschweig vs Trier

Prediction summary

Estimated points

179.8Total

Braunschweig88.7

Trier91.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

Braunschweig Trier

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Braunschweig 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Trier 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLLL

Head-to-head

Braunschweig 1–3 Trier (4 last)

Braunschweig97-106Trier
Trier78-73Braunschweig
Braunschweig80-74Trier
Trier79-65Braunschweig

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Braunschweig 1497 · Trier 1450

	Braunschweig	Trier
Our model	69%	31%
Market	36%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 179.8 points · Bet365 line 177.5 · +2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points179.8Braunschweig 88.7 · Trier 91.1

Match keys

H2H favours Trier: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Braunschweig	Trier
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.2 / 93	79.7 / 95.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	99.2 / 98.6	73.2 / 94.4
Est. result	89	91

Est. total179.8

Line O/U177.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.60

21.48

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.87

2 (-4.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 177.51.87

Under 177.51.87

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 179.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.82 → 2.60▼	Bet365 2.60
2	1.42 → 1.48▲	Bet365 1.48

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.2%

Time*	1	2
14:14 +34’	2.82	1.42
15:44 +5’	2.60▼	1.48▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Braunschweig 1–0–3 Trier

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	Braunschweig	97-106	Trier
12/10/25 Germany Bundesliga	Trier	78-73	Braunschweig
26/04/15 Germany Bundesliga	Braunschweig	80-74	Trier
03/10/14 Germany Bundesliga	Trier	79-65	Braunschweig

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alba Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brose Bamberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Braunschweig	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Telekom Bonn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oldenburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trier	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hamburg Towers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Syntainics MBC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chemnitz 99	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Phoenix Hagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ludwigsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rostock Seawolves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Vechta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jena	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fraport Skyliners	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ratiopharm Ulm	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	S.Oliver Wurzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Braunschweig	Trier
Oldenburg	84-93 L	95-98 L
SC Vechta	98-120 L	83-111 L
Syntainics MBC	112-93 W	85-78 W
Jena	93-82 W	94-102 L
Telekom Bonn	85-96 L	77-102 L
Rostock Seawolves	78-98 L	76-69 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Braunschweig (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Braunschweig

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/05	Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga	104-90	W
08/05	Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga	84-93	L
02/05	Ludwigsburg Germany Bundesliga	98-97	W
24/04	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	98-120	L
19/04	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	112-93	W
14/04	Jena Germany Bundesliga	93-82	W
12/04	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	85-96	L
04/04	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	77-67	W
01/04	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	78-98	L
29/03	Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga	73-94	L

Trier

LLLLWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	62-99	L
19/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	65-92	L
17/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	80-101	L
14/05	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	76-69	W
12/05	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	83-111	L
10/05	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	85-78	W
08/05	Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga	77-102	L
02/05	Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga	95-98	L
25/04	Jena Germany Bundesliga	94-102	L
20/04	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	80-104	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Braunschweig vs Trier?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Braunschweig 43% · Trier 57%).

How many points are expected in Braunschweig vs Trier?

The model estimates 179.8 total points (Braunschweig 88.7 · Trier 91.1).