Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: Brose Bamberg vs Ludwigsburg
Team pages: Brose Bamberg · Ludwigsburg
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.4Total
Brose Bamberg85.8
Ludwigsburg78.5
1X2
Brose Bamberg
Ludwigsburg
Markets
Under 171.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Brose Bamberg
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Ludwigsburg
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brose Bamberg
2–4
Ludwigsburg
(6 last)
- Ludwigsburg74-86Brose Bamberg
- Brose Bamberg79-100Ludwigsburg
- Brose Bamberg73-75Ludwigsburg
- Ludwigsburg92-73Brose Bamberg
- Ludwigsburg87-92Brose Bamberg
- Brose Bamberg90-102Ludwigsburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brose Bamberg 1576 · Ludwigsburg 1482
| Brose Bamberg | Ludwigsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.4 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -7.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.4Brose Bamberg 85.8 · Ludwigsburg 78.5
Over / Under 171.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~162.6 pts · strength 9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brose Bamberg (rating 1576 vs 1482).
- Brose Bamberg is a clear favourite (70% market).
- H2H favours Ludwigsburg: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Brose Bamberg | Ludwigsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.1 / 85 | 75.6 / 84.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.6 / 82.4 | 73 / 83.2 |
| Est. result | 86 | 79 |
Est. total164.4
Line O/U171.5
Diff.7.1
Over / Under30% / 70%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brose Bamberg 2–0–4 Ludwigsburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Germany Bundesliga | Ludwigsburg | 74-86 | Brose Bamberg |
| 09/01/26 Germany Bundesliga | Brose Bamberg | 79-100 | Ludwigsburg |
| 03/05/25 Germany Bundesliga | Brose Bamberg | 73-75 | Ludwigsburg |
| 12/01/25 Germany Bundesliga | Ludwigsburg | 92-73 | Brose Bamberg |
| 09/03/24 Germany Bundesliga | Ludwigsburg | 87-92 | Brose Bamberg |
| 12/11/23 Germany Bundesliga | Brose Bamberg | 90-102 | Ludwigsburg |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oldenburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 173 | 149 | 4 |
| 1 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 2 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 155 | 4 |
| 3 | Alba Berlin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 165 | 4 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 108 | 72 | 2 |
| 5 | Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 107 | 2 |
| 6 | Trier | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 196 | 2 |
| 7 | Ludwigsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 164 | 2 |
| 8 | Telekom Bonn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 178 | 2 |
| 9 | Brose Bamberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 175 | 2 |
| 10 | Syntainics MBC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 158 | 2 |
| 11 | Rostock Seawolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 173 | 2 |
| 12 | Hamburg Towers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 186 | 2 |
| 13 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 77 | 0 |
| 14 | Fraport Skyliners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 94 | 0 |
| 15 | Jena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 77 | 0 |
| 16 | SC Vechta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 108 | 0 |
| 17 | Chemnitz 99 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 172 | 183 | 0 |
| 18 | Phoenix Hagen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 195 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brose Bamberg | Ludwigsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 72-108 L | 78-86 L |
| Alba Berlin | 66-97 L | 77-101 L |
| Ratiopharm Ulm | 96-87 W | 77-86 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ludwigsburg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brose Bamberg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga |
108-67 | W |
| 20/09 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
72-108 | L |
| 09/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
66-97 | L |
| 06/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-67 | W |
| 04/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-73 | W |
| 01/06 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
71-85 | L |
| 30/05 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
86-105 | L |
| 23/05 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
96-87 | W |
| 18/05 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
90-87 | W |
| 16/05 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
80-74 | W |
Ludwigsburg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
81-78 | W |
| 20/09 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
77-86 | L |
| 12/05 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
71-91 | L |
| 10/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
58-75 | L |
| 07/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
78-86 | L |
| 02/05 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
97-98 | L |
| 25/04 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
75-61 | W |
| 18/04 | Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga |
83-73 | W |
| 14/04 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
59-93 | L |
| 11/04 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
77-101 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brose Bamberg vs Ludwigsburg?
Our model gives 70% to Brose Bamberg.
How many points are expected in Brose Bamberg vs Ludwigsburg?
The model estimates 164.4 total points (Brose Bamberg 85.8 · Ludwigsburg 78.5).
Over or under 171.5 points?
Recent history points to under 171.5 points (70%).