Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 27/09, 16:30
Prediction: Oldenburg vs Hamburg Towers
Team pages: Oldenburg · Hamburg Towers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
167.2Total
Oldenburg88.5
Hamburg Towers78.7
1X2
Oldenburg
Hamburg Towers
Recent form · 10 last
Oldenburg
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Hamburg Towers
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oldenburg
4–2
Hamburg Towers
(6 last)
- Oldenburg78-71Hamburg Towers
- Oldenburg77-96Hamburg Towers
- Hamburg Towers69-94Oldenburg
- Oldenburg99-81Hamburg Towers
- Hamburg Towers87-78Oldenburg
- Oldenburg115-88Hamburg Towers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oldenburg 1561 · Hamburg Towers 1452
| Oldenburg | Hamburg Towers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
167.2 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -1.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points167.2Oldenburg 88.5 · Hamburg Towers 78.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oldenburg (rating 1561 vs 1452).
- Oldenburg is a clear favourite (76% market).
- H2H favours Oldenburg: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Oldenburg | Hamburg Towers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.5 / 81.6 | 81.8 / 89.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.2 / 81 | 76.2 / 92.8 |
| Est. result | 89 | 79 |
Est. total167.2
Line O/U168.5
Diff.1.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oldenburg 4–0–2 Hamburg Towers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 Club Friendlies | Oldenburg | 78-71 | Hamburg Towers |
| 01/04/26 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 77-96 | Hamburg Towers |
| 27/12/25 Germany Bundesliga | Hamburg Towers | 69-94 | Oldenburg |
| 15/03/25 Germany Bundesliga | Oldenburg | 99-81 | Hamburg Towers |
| 06/10/24 Germany Bundesliga | Hamburg Towers | 87-78 | Oldenburg |
| 08/09/24 Club Friendlies | Oldenburg | 115-88 | Hamburg Towers |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oldenburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 173 | 149 | 4 |
| 1 | Ratiopharm Ulm | 2 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 155 | 4 |
| 3 | Alba Berlin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 165 | 4 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 108 | 72 | 2 |
| 5 | Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 116 | 107 | 2 |
| 6 | Trier | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 196 | 2 |
| 7 | Ludwigsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 164 | 2 |
| 8 | Telekom Bonn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 178 | 2 |
| 9 | Brose Bamberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 175 | 2 |
| 10 | Syntainics MBC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 158 | 158 | 2 |
| 11 | Rostock Seawolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 173 | 2 |
| 12 | Hamburg Towers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 166 | 186 | 2 |
| 13 | S.Oliver Wurzburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 77 | 0 |
| 14 | Fraport Skyliners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 94 | 0 |
| 15 | Jena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 77 | 0 |
| 16 | SC Vechta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 108 | 0 |
| 17 | Chemnitz 99 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 172 | 183 | 0 |
| 18 | Phoenix Hagen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 170 | 195 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oldenburg | Hamburg Towers |
|---|---|---|
| S.Oliver Wurzburg | 77-68 W | 73-90 L |
| Syntainics MBC | 96-81 W | 94-99 L |
| Brose Bamberg | 61-83 L | 71-85 L |
| Rostock Seawolves | 81-79 W | 71-103 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Oldenburg (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oldenburg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
77-68 | W |
| 20/09 | Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga |
96-81 | W |
| 10/05 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga |
67-77 | L |
| 08/05 | Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga |
93-84 | W |
| 02/05 | Trier Germany Bundesliga |
98-95 | W |
| 25/04 | Heidelberg Academics Germany Bundesliga |
94-74 | W |
| 18/04 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
61-83 | L |
| 13/04 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
81-79 | W |
| 05/04 | Alba Berlin Germany Bundesliga |
81-79 | W |
| 01/04 | Hamburg Towers Germany Bundesliga |
77-96 | L |
Hamburg Towers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Chemnitz 99 Germany Bundesliga |
94-90 | W |
| 19/09 | Telekom Bonn Germany Bundesliga |
72-96 | L |
| 10/05 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
71-103 | L |
| 07/05 | S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga |
73-90 | L |
| 03/05 | Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga |
71-85 | L |
| 25/04 | Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga |
72-81 | L |
| 22/04 | Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga |
91-86 | W |
| 19/04 | SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga |
83-92 | L |
| 10/04 | Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga |
94-99 | L |
| 05/04 | Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga |
97-75 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oldenburg vs Hamburg Towers?
Our model gives 76% to Oldenburg.
How many points are expected in Oldenburg vs Hamburg Towers?
The model estimates 167.2 total points (Oldenburg 88.5 · Hamburg Towers 78.7).