Basketball · Germany Bundesliga · 19/09, 20:00

Prediction: Telekom Bonn vs Hamburg Towers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.4Total

Telekom Bonn88.1

Hamburg Towers76.3

1X2

80% 20%

Telekom Bonn Hamburg Towers

Recent form · 10 last

Telekom Bonn 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWLLL

Hamburg Towers 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Telekom Bonn 4–2 Hamburg Towers (6 last)

Telekom Bonn92-85Hamburg Towers
Hamburg Towers68-86Telekom Bonn
Telekom Bonn93-96Hamburg Towers
Hamburg Towers91-84Telekom Bonn
Hamburg Towers80-87Telekom Bonn
Telekom Bonn108-94Hamburg Towers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Telekom Bonn 1516 · Hamburg Towers 1452

	Telekom Bonn	Hamburg Towers
Our model	71%	29%
Market	82%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 164.4 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · -3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.4Telekom Bonn 88.1 · Hamburg Towers 76.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Telekom Bonn (rating 1516 vs 1452).
Telekom Bonn is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Telekom Bonn: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Telekom Bonn	Hamburg Towers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.7 / 80.1	84.4 / 86.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	68 / 79.2	75.6 / 89
Est. result	88	76

Est. total164.4

Line O/U167.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.87

2 (+10.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.87

Under 167.51.87

Diff.: 4.45 · Est. total: 163.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.8%

Time*	1	2
14:46 +4’	1.15	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Telekom Bonn 4–0–2 Hamburg Towers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	92-85	Hamburg Towers
12/10/25 Germany Bundesliga	Hamburg Towers	68-86	Telekom Bonn
29/03/25 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	93-96	Hamburg Towers
10/01/25 Germany Bundesliga	Hamburg Towers	91-84	Telekom Bonn
03/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	Hamburg Towers	80-87	Telekom Bonn
23/12/23 Germany Bundesliga	Telekom Bonn	108-94	Hamburg Towers

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alba Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brose Bamberg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Braunschweig	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Telekom Bonn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oldenburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trier	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hamburg Towers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Syntainics MBC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chemnitz 99	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Phoenix Hagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ludwigsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rostock Seawolves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Vechta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jena	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fraport Skyliners	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ratiopharm Ulm	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	S.Oliver Wurzburg	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Telekom Bonn	Hamburg Towers
Bayern Munich	57-77 L	96-81 W
S.Oliver Wurzburg	66-63 W	73-90 L
Brose Bamberg	83-102 L	71-85 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hamburg Towers (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Telekom Bonn

WLLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	57-77	L
01/06	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	69-91	L
30/05	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	78-83	L
27/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	66-63	W
24/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	70-82	L
22/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	80-76	W
18/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	88-81	W
16/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	54-69	L
10/05	Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga	83-102	L
08/05	Trier Germany Bundesliga	102-77	W

Hamburg Towers

WWWLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/05	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	71-103	L
07/05	S.Oliver Wurzburg Germany Bundesliga	73-90	L
03/05	Brose Bamberg Germany Bundesliga	71-85	L
25/04	Ratiopharm Ulm Germany Bundesliga	72-81	L
22/04	Rostock Seawolves Germany Bundesliga	91-86	W
19/04	SC Vechta Germany Bundesliga	83-92	L
10/04	Syntainics MBC Germany Bundesliga	94-99	L
05/04	Fraport Skyliners Germany Bundesliga	97-75	W
01/04	Oldenburg Germany Bundesliga	96-77	W
29/03	Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga	96-81	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Telekom Bonn vs Hamburg Towers?

Our model gives 80% to Telekom Bonn.

How many points are expected in Telekom Bonn vs Hamburg Towers?

The model estimates 164.4 total points (Telekom Bonn 88.1 · Hamburg Towers 76.3).