Basketball · Brazil FPB · 07/08, 00:30
Prediction: Osasco vs Corinthians
Team pages: Corinthians
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.3Total
Osasco77.4
Corinthians86
1X2
Osasco
Corinthians
Recent form · 10 last
Osasco
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Corinthians
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Osasco
0–6
Corinthians
(6 last)
- Corinthians111-96Osasco
- Osasco80-81Corinthians
- Osasco76-89Corinthians
- Corinthians70-49Osasco
- Osasco69-98Corinthians
- Osasco64-90Corinthians
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Osasco 1431 · Corinthians 1555
| Osasco | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.3 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +6.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.3Osasco 77.4 · Corinthians 86
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corinthians (rating 1431 vs 1555).
- Corinthians is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Corinthians: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Osasco | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79 / 88.6 | 77.5 / 74.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 76 / 86.2 | 72 / 72 |
| Est. result | 77 | 86 |
Est. total163.3
Line O/U156.5
Diff.6.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Osasco 0–0–6 Corinthians
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Brazil NBB | Corinthians | 111-96 | Osasco |
| 17/12/25 Brazil NBB | Osasco | 80-81 | Corinthians |
| 13/08/25 Brazil FPB | Osasco | 76-89 | Corinthians |
| 26/09/23 Brazil FPB | Corinthians | 70-49 | Osasco |
| 20/08/23 Brazil FPB | Osasco | 69-98 | Corinthians |
| 17/09/21 Brazil FPB | Osasco | 64-90 | Corinthians |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Osasco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04 | Mogi das Cruzes Brazil NBB |
76-73 | W |
| 11/04 | Pato Basquete Brazil NBB |
77-68 | W |
| 08/04 | Corinthians Brazil NBB |
96-111 | L |
| 04/04 | Unifacisa Brazil NBB |
65-101 | L |
| 22/03 | Minas Brazil NBB |
66-78 | L |
| 21/03 | Flamengo Brazil NBB |
71-101 | L |
| 17/03 | Fortaleza BC Brazil NBB |
90-89 | W |
| 14/03 | CR Vasco Da Gama Brazil NBB |
86-88 | L |
| 13/03 | Botafogo Brazil NBB |
79-85 | L |
| 07/03 | Cruzeiro Brazil NBB |
84-92 | L |
Corinthians
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
68-61 | W |
| 07/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-73 | W |
| 05/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
81-69 | W |
| 02/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
61-98 | L |
| 17/06 | Sorocaba Basquete Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-59 | W |
| 17/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-59 | W |
| 16/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
87-89 | L |
| 13/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
85-84 | W |
| 13/06 | Sorocaba Basquete Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
85-84 | W |
| 10/06 | F.R. Diadema Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
83-69 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Osasco vs Corinthians?
Our model gives 73% to Corinthians.
How many points are expected in Osasco vs Corinthians?
The model estimates 163.3 total points (Osasco 77.4 · Corinthians 86).