Basketball · Brazil Paulista 1 Div. · 16/08, 16:00

Prediction: Pinheiros vs Paulistano

Team pages: Pinheiros · Paulistano

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.5Total

Pinheiros83.5

Paulistano78.1

1X2

65% 35%

Pinheiros Paulistano

Recent form · 10 last

Pinheiros 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLLLL

Paulistano 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Pinheiros 5–1 Paulistano (6 last)

Paulistano74-84Pinheiros
Paulistano68-76Pinheiros
Pinheiros101-92Paulistano
Pinheiros80-68Paulistano
Pinheiros114-108Paulistano
Paulistano81-76Pinheiros

Model analysis

Estimated points161.5Pinheiros 83.5 · Paulistano 78.1

Match keys

Pinheiros is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Pinheiros: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Pinheiros	Paulistano
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.3 / 84.7	79.5 / 81.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	74.2 / 86.4	76.4 / 80.6
Est. result	84	78

Est. total161.5

Line O/U152.5

Diff.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 152.51.88

Under 152.51.85

Diff.: 8.8 · Est. total: 161.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:47

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.24 → 2.24	Pinn 2.24
2	1.60 → 1.60	Pinn 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	2
16:47 +1’	2.24	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pinheiros 5–0–1 Paulistano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Brazil NBB	Paulistano	74-84	Pinheiros
08/05/26 Brazil NBB	Paulistano	68-76	Pinheiros
05/05/26 Brazil NBB	Pinheiros	101-92	Paulistano
20/02/26 Brazil NBB	Pinheiros	80-68	Paulistano
25/01/26 Brazil Copa Super 8	Pinheiros	114-108	Paulistano
06/11/25 Brazil NBB	Paulistano	81-76	Pinheiros

Standings · Brazil Paulista 1 Div.

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Corinthians	3	3	0	278	205
2	Mogi das Cruzes	3	3	0	280	217
3	Franca	3	3	0	240	177
4	Bauru	3	2	1	216	188
5	Paulistano	3	1	2	240	243
6	Pinheiros	3	0	3	201	255
7	Sao Jose	3	0	3	214	276
8	Osasco	3	0	3	183	291

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pinheiros	Paulistano
Bauru	63-74 L	71-62 W
Mogi das Cruzes	68-93 L	82-86 L
Franca	76-85 L	74-78 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Paulistano (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Pinheiros

LWWLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/08	Corinthians Brazil FPB	70-88	L
08/08	Bauru Brazil FPB	63-74	L
06/08	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB	68-93	L
07/06	Franca Brazil NBB	76-85	L
04/06	Franca Brazil NBB	94-92	W
03/06	Franca Brazil NBB	75-78	L
31/05	Franca Brazil NBB	73-82	L
27/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	88-76	W
23/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	82-81	W
21/05	Corinthians Brazil NBB	84-98	L

Paulistano

WWLWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/08	Franca Brazil FPB	74-78	L
09/08	Mogi das Cruzes Brazil FPB	82-86	L
07/08	Sao Jose Brazil FPB	84-79	W
10/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	74-84	L
08/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	68-76	L
05/05	Pinheiros Brazil NBB	92-101	L
30/04	Bauru Brazil NBB	71-62	W
26/04	Bauru Brazil NBB	75-88	L
25/04	Bauru Brazil NBB	95-80	W
22/04	Bauru Brazil NBB	80-77	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pinheiros vs Paulistano?

Our model gives 65% to Pinheiros.

How many points are expected in Pinheiros vs Paulistano?

The model estimates 161.5 total points (Pinheiros 83.5 · Paulistano 78.1).